The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 29.4%
Draw 26.2%
Doncaster Rovers 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.8%
23.6%
54.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
22.8%
52.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crewe Alexandra's performance.
Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Doncaster Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Doncaster Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Crewe Alexandra - Doncaster Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Doncaster will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 59% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crewe Alexandra will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Waller S. (G) 4. Mingi J. J. 18. Connolly J. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 14. Finney C. 8. Thomas C. 6. Sanders M. H. 20. Agius C. 19. Lunt O. 26. O'Reilly T. 36. Tezgel E.
29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 27. Grehan S. 12. O'Riordan C. 5. Pearson M. 3. Maxwell J. 15. Clifton H. 8. Broadbent G. 7. Molyneux L. 4. Bailey O. (C) 17. Middleton G. 14. Sharp B.
Substitutes
34. Armstrong O. 9. Bogle O. 1. Booth T. (G) 16. Golding J. 17. Holicek M. 3. Hutchinson R. 32. Moore L. 31. Moult L. 15. Rankine D.
19. Ajayi D. 33. Close B. 18. Crew C. 11. Gibson J. 22. Gotts R. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 6. McGrath J. 30. Olusanya T. 23. Senior J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
40', Pearson M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Demetriou M. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Middleton G. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Sharp B. ⚽, Clifton H. (A),
59', Mingi J. J. ↓, Hutchinson R. ↑,
61', Clifton H. ↓, Gotts R. ↑,
67', Thomas C. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
81', Sharp B. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
82', O'Reilly T. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
82', Agius C. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
86', Olusanya T. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Bailey O. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
90+4', Molyneux L. ↓, McGrath J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Doncaster is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 4.22 are the expected chance of winning is 21.8%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.