Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)


	Cambridge United		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5
	1.41	4.33	6.5
	1.38	4.75	8
	1.39	4.7	7.2
	1.45	4.88	6.16
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.4	4.55	6.75	Watch
	1.38	4.8	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	4.62 ↓ (4.78)	7.1 ↓ (7.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
66.7%

Draw
20.2%

Curzon Ashton
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

19.6%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

19.4%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56%	8%	36%

Cambridge United - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 14 - 56%). Curzon Ashton will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 0-0.

Recent matches Cambridge is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Curzon Ashton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Curzon Ashton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cambridge is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League One
12.11.22	Cambridge United - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.22	Curzon Ashton - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
English League One
29.10.22	Peterborough United - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
25.10.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Cambridge United	2:3 ✺
22.10.22	Cambridge United - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTLWL
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
12.11.22	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	1:0 ✺
08.11.22	Curzon Ashton - Leamington	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.22	Curzon Ashton - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
English National League North
29.10.22	Curzon Ashton - Hereford	1:3 ✺
25.10.22	Peterborough Sports - Curzon Ashton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
06.11.22	Curzon Ashton - Cambridge United	0:0

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