Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Pollard C. (Eng)


	Cambridge United		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	3
	2.35	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.46	3.4	3
	2.2	3.1	2.88
	2.33	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.33	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.29)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
40.1%

Draw
28.1%

Port Vale
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	15.4%	46.2%

Cambridge United - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Port Vale will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mannion W. (G) 2. Bennett L. 6. Bennett R. 5. Morrison M. (C) 3. Andrew D. 4. Digby P. 8. Thomas G. 7. Brophy J. 21. Kachunga E. 14. Kaikai S. 23. Ahadme G.	1. Ripley C. (G) 5. Balmer K. 6. Smith N. (C) 17. Iacovitti A. 7. Clark M. 18. Arblaster O. 14. Ojo F. 21. Plant J. 8. Garrity B. 10. Chislett E. 29. Wilson J.
Substitutes
27. Gordon J. 13. Holden J. (G) 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 10. Lankester J. 19. May A. 9. Okenabirhie F. 22. Simper L.	2. Cass L. 11. Devine A. 15. Grant C. 13. Leutwiler J. (G) 16. Lowe J. 19. Massey G. 4. Sang T.
Coaches
Bonner M.	Crosby A.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 3.

Recent matches Cambridge is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Port Vale is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cambridge could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Port Vale have a series of home games.

Cambridge will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League One
16.09.23	Wigan Athletic - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.09.23	Peterborough United - Cambridge United	2:0 ✺
English League One
04.09.23	Cambridge United - Reading	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Leyton Orient - Cambridge United	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW
- Port Vale
English League One
19.09.23	Port Vale - Burton Albion	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Port Vale - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
English League One
02.09.23	Oxford United - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.04.23	Port Vale - Cambridge United	0:2
22.10.22	Cambridge United - Port Vale	0:1
English League Two
27.02.21	Port Vale - Cambridge United	0:1
20.10.20	Cambridge United - Port Vale	3:1
31.08.19	Port Vale - Cambridge United	1:0
09.02.19	Cambridge United - Port Vale	1:0
04.08.18	Port Vale - Cambridge United	3:0

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