The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlisle United 47.5%
Draw 26.5%
Harrogate Town 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
26.4%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
27%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
12.5%
62.5%
Carlisle United - Harrogate Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Harrogate will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lewis H. (G) 5. Lavelle S. (C) 4. Thomas T. 22. Mellish J. 12. Biggins H. 8. Guy C. 17. Neal H. 3. Harper C. 24. Sadi D. 15. Charters T. 29. Armstrong L.
31. Belshaw J. (C) 14. Sims T. 15. O'Connor A. 5. Moon J. 3. Foulds M. 21. Taylor E. 8. Cornelius D. 22. Dooley S. 11. Daly J. 10. Daly M. 18. Muldoon J.
Substitutes
26. Barclay B. 13. Breeze G. (G) 37. Burey T. 19. Robinson J. 7. Robson E. 16. Vela J. 10. Wyke Ch.
2. Asare Z. 6. Burrell W. 9. Duke-McKenna S. 4. Falkingham J. 12. Folarin S. 24. March J. 1. Oxley M. (G)
Coaches
Williamson M.
Weaver S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Daly M. ⚽, Foulds M. (A),
39', Neal H. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Armstrong L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Charters T. ↓, Burey T. ↑,
65', Guy C. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
68', Muldoon J. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
74', Mellish J. 🟨,
77', Armstrong L. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
77', Sadi D. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
82', Robinson J. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1.
Carlisle has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Harrogate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Carlisle is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:13 (average 0.7:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Harrogate Town - the odds 3.91 are the expected chance of winning is 24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.