Match Info

National League - Round 15

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	16:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bolivia	15:45	DAZN
Brazil	16:45	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	14:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	16:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Serbia	20:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	DAZN
Turkey	22:45	DAZN Turkiye
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	DAZN
Usa	15:45	DAZN USA
Venezuela	15:45	DAZN
International	19:45	DAZN National League


	Carlisle United		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.1
	1.93	3.40	3.20
	2.02	3.55	3.2
	2.03	3.79	3.44
	2.01	3.77	3.26	Watch
	1.98	3.65	3.35
	1.91	3.62	3.27
	2.01	3.6	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2)	3.62 ↓ (3.7)	3.25 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
46.3%

Draw
25.4%

Harrogate Town
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46%

24.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

25%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Carlisle United - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Harrogate will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Desbois A. (G) 5. Feeney M. (C) 2. Richardson K. 15. Nicholson B. 17. Duru L. 8. Whelan C. 4. Bunker H. 6. Azeez M. 22. Williams J. 19. Obiero M. 7. Ajiboye D.	34. Hutchinson L. (G) 16. Dreyer S. 14. Williams M. 4. Baptiste A. 24. Cass L. 35. McGuckin C. 21. Taylor E. 3. Bristow E. 7. Thomson G. (C) 23. Dolaghan B. 17. Hmami J.
Substitutes
32. Camps C. 12. Galvin R. 30. Jenks T. 10. Linney R. 16. Mair A. (G) 40. Mullarkey T. 20. Wearne S.	6. Burrell W. 19. Craig M. 27. Fox B. 9. McCoulsky S. 18. Muldoon J. 2. Payne L. 30. Watson R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Williams J. ⚽, Whelan C. (A),
14', Azeez M. 🟥,
22', Richardson K. 🟨,
30', Bunker H. 🟥,
40', Ajiboye D. ↓, Camps C. ↑,
41', McGuckin C. 🟨,
43', Bristow E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cass L. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Whelan C. ⚽, Williams J. (A),
54', Williams M. 🟨,
56', Williams J. ↓, Galvin R. ↑,
56', Whelan C. ↓, Jenks T. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Galvin R. ⚽,
63', Dreyer S. 🟨,
65', McGuckin C. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
68', Obiero M. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
69', Richardson K. ↓, Mullarkey T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 2.

Each of the two teams has built an impressive run of consecutive wins.

Harrogate may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Carlisle holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Carlisle has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:15 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Carlisle against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
24.10.26	Solihull Moors - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Carlisle United - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
English National League
10.10.26	Carlisle United - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Aldershot Town - Carlisle United	1:3 ✺
English National League North
29.09.26	Fylde - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTWW
- Harrogate Town
English National League
24.10.26	Harrogate Town - Sutton United	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
20.10.26	Harrogate Town - Bury	3:1 ✺
17.10.26	Bury - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
English National League
10.10.26	Woking - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Harrogate Town - Hornchurch	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.25	Harrogate Town - Carlisle United	0:2
English League Two
08.03.25	Harrogate Town - Carlisle United	1:0
19.10.24	Carlisle United - Harrogate Town	1:1
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Carlisle United - Harrogate Town	2:0
English League Cup
08.08.23	Harrogate Town - Carlisle United	1:0
English League Two
04.02.23	Carlisle United - Harrogate Town	0:1
08.11.22	Harrogate Town - Carlisle United	3:3

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