Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Cambridge United		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.75
	4	3.8	1.78
	4.2	3.95	1.8
	4.1	3.6	1.79
	4.16	3.98	1.84
	4	3.6	1.78
	4.33	3.9	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.57)	3.8 ↑ (3.47)	1.8 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
22.7%

Draw
24.8%

Sunderland
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

17.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambridge United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cambridge United - Sunderland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).

Cambridge has the most likely position - 20 (9.87%), has project points - 52, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland has the most likely position - 2 (12.4%), has project points - 80, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (42%), has a chance of promoted (33%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Cambridge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sunderland will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League One
23.11.21	Cambridge United - Wigan Athletic	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Rotherham United - Cambridge United	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.11.21	Cambridge United - Northampton Town	3:1 ✺
English League One
13.11.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
09.11.21	Stevenage Borough - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWLL
- Sunderland AFC
English League One
23.11.21	Shrewsbury Town - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
20.11.21	Sunderland - Ipswich Town	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
09.11.21	Sunderland - Bradford City	1:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.21	Sunderland - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
English League One
02.11.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TWLLL

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