Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Coventry City		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.5
	2.27	3.2	3.34	Watch
	2.27	3.28	3.48
	2.26	3.25	3.34	Watch
	2.25	3	3.4
	2.25	3.34	3.35	Watch
	2.27	3.2	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)	3.18 ↑ (3.18)	3.38 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
42.1%

Draw
29.8%

Sunderland
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.7%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29.8%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.4%	5.7%	2.9%

Coventry City - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 31 - 93.9%). Sunderland will win (votes: 1 - 3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 85.7% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Coventry (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coventry City will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 16 - 94.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wilson B. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 6. Grimes M. 14. Sheaf B. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 5. Rudoni J. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 11. Wright H.	1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 5. Ballard D. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 10. Roberts P. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 28. Le Fee E. 12. Mayenda E. 18. Isidor W.
Substitutes
8. Allen J. 21. Bidwell J. 2. Binks L. 40. Collins B. (G) 28. Eccles J. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 12. Paterson J. 9. Simms E.	20. Abdul Samed S. 8. Browne A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 50. Jones H. 26. Mepham C. 21. Moore S. (G) 11. Rigg C. 23. Seelt J. 40. Watson T.
Coaches
Lampard F.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Cirkin D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', Sheaf B. 🟨,
59', van Ewijk M. 🟨,
63', Kitching L. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Isidor W. ⚽, Le Fee E. (A),
70', 1 - 1, Rudoni J. ⚽, van Ewijk M. (A),
71', Thomas-Asante B. ↓, Mason-Clark E. ↑,
77', Isidor W. ↓, Rigg C. ↑,
82', Sheaf B. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
86', Roberts P. ↓, Mepham C. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Mayenda E. ⚽,
90+3', Mayenda E. ↓, Browne A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Sunderland is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 3.

Coventry has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sunderland has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Coventry might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Mason-Clark E. (Toe Injury) Torp V. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Broken Leg) Danns J. (Back Injury) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) Poveda I. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Coventry: Bassette N. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
03.05.25	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Luton Town - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
21.04.25	Plymouth Argyle - Coventry City	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Hull City - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWT
- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
03.05.25	Sunderland - Queens Park Rangers	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Oxford United - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Sunderland - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Bristol City - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sunderland - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.03.25	Coventry City - Sunderland	3:0
09.11.24	Sunderland - Coventry City	2:2
23.12.23	Sunderland - Coventry City	0:3
26.08.23	Coventry City - Sunderland	0:0
25.02.23	Coventry City - Sunderland	2:1
31.07.22	Sunderland - Coventry City	1:1
English League One
01.03.20	Coventry City - Sunderland	1:0

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