Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sunderland		Brentford

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.38
	2.9	3.3	2.45
	3.1	3.3	2.38
	3.2	3.36	2.4
	3.01	3.28	2.34	Watch
	3	3.1	2.45
	3.12	3.32	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.6)	3.28 ↓ (3.43)	2.41 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
31.3%

Draw
29.1%

Brentford
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sunderland's form might have worsened.

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.4%	27%	40.5%

Sunderland - Brentford Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 12 - 34.3%). Brentford will win (votes: 15 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 26.5% – 59.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 3 - 30%). Brentford (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Brentford (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Sunderland (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Brentford (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 32. Hume T. 20. Mukiele N. 15. Alderete O. 17. Mandava R. 19. Diarra H. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 7. Talbi C. 12. Mayenda E. 28. Le Fee E.	1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 22. Collins N. (C) 4. van den Berg S. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 6. Henderson J. 19. Ouattara Da. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 9. Thiago I.
Substitutes
24. Adingra S. 9. Guiu M. 18. Isidor W. 26. Masuaku A. 4. Neil D. 1. Patterson A. (G) 11. Rigg C. 10. Roberts P. 23. Seelt J.	20. Ajer K. 14. Carvalho F. 3. Henry R. 2. Hickey A. 8. Jensen M. 17. Milambo A. 15. Onyeka F. 5. Pinnock E. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G)
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', Mandava R. 🟨,
58', Diarra H. 🟨,
59', Schade K. (Pen),
61', Thiago I. 🟨,
65', Talbi C. ↓, Adingra S. ↑,
65', Mayenda E. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
71', Henderson J. ↓, Onyeka F. ↑,
72', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Henry R. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Thiago I. ⚽, Onyeka F. (A),
80', Henry R. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Le Fee E. (Pen),
87', Diarra H. ↓, Guiu M. ↑,
90', Schade K. ↓, Carvalho F. ↑,
90+4', Xhaka G. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Isidor W. ⚽, Xhaka G. (A),

Preview

Sunderland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brentford is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Ballard D. (Groin Injury) Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) O'Nien L. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Brentford: Gustavo Nunes (Hamstring Injury) Janelt V. (Heel Injury) Wissa Y. (Coach's decision)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Huggins N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Brentford: Konak Y. E. (Ankle Injury) Maghoma P. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sunderland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Cup
26.08.25	Sunderland - Huddersfield Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
23.08.25	Burnley - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Sunderland - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Sunderland - Rayo Vallecano	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Augsburg - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLW
- Brentford FC
English League Cup
26.08.25	Bournemouth - Brentford	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
23.08.25	Brentford - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.25	Brentford - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Queens Park Rangers - Brentford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.02.18	Sunderland - Brentford	0:2
21.10.17	Brentford - Sunderland	3:3

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