Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Supersport Action
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect
Belarus	22:45	Sport TV
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:45	Disney+
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	20:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay
France	20:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9
Iceland	19:45	Viaplay
India	01:15	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Italy	20:45	Como TV
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kenya	22:45	Gotv
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:45	SuperSport Action
Norway	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 8
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Action
South Korea	04:45	Coupang Play
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+


	Sunderland		Brentford

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.20	1.57	Watch
	4.60	4.33	1.65
	4.70	4.10	1.63	Watch
	5.27	4.22	1.65
	3.7	3.63	1.99	Watch
	5.20	4.15	1.62
	4.64	4.30	1.69	Watch
	4.40	3.85	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (3.25)	4.1 ↑ (3.51)	1.67 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
20.3%

Draw
23.1%

Brentford
56.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.1%

26.9%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

27.2%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sunderland's form might have worsened.

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brentford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Sunderland - Brentford Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Brentford (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ellborg M. (G) 8. Browne A. 4. Danso K. (C) 15. Alderete O. 6. Methalie D. 7. Talbi C. 29. Ahoka J. 37. Ta Bi J. 19. Diarra H. 39. Fofana M. 57. Tuterov T.	12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 33. Kayode M. 44. Schuster J. 22. Collins N. (C) 25. Diouf M. 18. Sangare M. 27. Janelt V. 19. Anthony J. 24. Damsgaard M. 13. Wilson C. 9. Thiago I.
Substitutes
48. Jones J. 12. Meunier T. 21. Moore S. (G) 13. O'Nien L. 77. Proctor T. 11. Rigg C. 47. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 49. Scott F. 40. Whittaker J.	20. Ajer K. 39. Gustavo Nunes 2. Hickey A. 8. Jensen M. 1. Kelleher C. (G) 23. Lewis-Potter K. 11. Ouattara Da. 7. Schade K. 4. van den Berg S.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Talbi C. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Tuterov T. ⚽, Ta Bi J. (A),
39', 3 - 0, Fofana M. ⚽, Ta Bi J. (A),
42', 3 - 1, Wilson C. ⚽, Janelt V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diarra H. ↓, Rigg C. ↑,
59', Wilson C. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
59', Kayode M. ↓, Hickey A. ↑,
59', Sangare M. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
60', Tuterov T. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
60', Alderete O. ↓, O'Nien L. ↑,
71', Anthony J. ↓, Schade K. ↑,
71', Collins N. ↓, Ajer K. ↑,
74', Schade K. 🟨,
80', Talbi C. ↓, Proctor T. ↑,
83', Janelt V. 🟨,
85', Schuster J. 🟨,
89', Rigg C. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Thiago I. ⚽, Jensen M. (A),
90+4', Ta Bi J. ↓, Scott F. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Brentford could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Brentford is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Sunderland: Ballard D. (Muscle Injury) Mundle R. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Brentford: Furo K. (Surgery) Yarmolyuk Y. (Red Card).

Doubtful / questionable for Sunderland: Isidor W. (Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury) Mukiele N. (Face Injury) Scott F. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Brentford: Dasilva J. (Muscle Injury) Milambo A. (Knock).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Sunderland has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:10 (averaging 1.2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sunderland against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Outrights of English League Cup for now

Sunderland: 7.32%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
25.10.26	Sunderland - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Lech Poznań - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
18.10.26	Bournemouth - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Torreense - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTLWL
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
25.10.26	Hull City - Brentford	1:1 ✺
17.10.26	Brentford - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Aston Villa - Brentford	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	Brentford - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	Reading - Brentford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
05.09.26	Brentford - Sunderland	1:1
07.01.26	Brentford - Sunderland	3:0
30.08.25	Sunderland - Brentford	2:1
English League Championship
17.02.18	Sunderland - Brentford	0:2
21.10.17	Brentford - Sunderland	3:3

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