Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 29

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)

Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Rotherham United		Cambridge United

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.8
	1.72	3.6	5	Watch
	1.73	3.7	5.2
	1.71	3.61	4.89	Watch
	1.75	3.6	5
	1.73	3.7	4.91	Watch
	1.72	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	3.65 ↓ (3.71)	4.94 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
55%

Draw
25.9%

Cambridge United
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.4%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	31.6%	15.8%

Rotherham United - Cambridge United Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Cambridge will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Phillips D. (G) 2. Rafferty J. 22. Odoffin H. (C) 16. Jules Z. 6. James R. 14. MacDonald A. 24. Humphreys C. 7. Powell J. 15. Sibley L. 12. Wilks M. 11. Green A.	1. Stevens J. (G) 15. Okedina J. 5. Morrison M. (C) 6. Watts K. 2. Bennett L. 24. Cousins J. 7. Brophy J. 3. Andrew D. 10. Kachunga E. 22. Stokes J. 18. Loft R.
Substitutes
3. Bramall C. 1. Dawson C. (G) 23. Holmes J. 10. Hugill J. 4. Kelly L. 8. Nombe S. 5. Raggett S.	29. Ballard D. 36. Barton D. 31. Chadwick L. (G) 4. Digby P. 26. Gibbons J. 38. Hoddle G. 21. Osong D. E.
Coaches
Evans S.	Monk G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Kachunga E. 🟨,
39', MacDonald A. ↓, Raggett S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Okedina J. ↓, Gibbons J. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Loft R. ⚽, Stokes J. (A),
53', 1 - 1, Wilks M. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
59', Sibley L. 🟨,
68', Brophy J. ↓, Digby P. ↑,
68', Stokes J. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Odoffin H. ⚽, Wilks M. (A),
75', Green A. ↓, Nombe S. ↑,
83', Gibbons J. 🟨,
85', Loft R. ↓, Barton D. ↑,
85', Bennett L. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
89', Watts K. ↓, Hoddle G. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Rotherham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cambridge is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rotherham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rotherham is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.6:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League One
25.01.25	Burton Albion - Rotherham United	4:2 ✺
18.01.25	Rotherham United - Charlton Athletic	4:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.01.25	Chesterfield - Rotherham United	0:1 penalties ✺
English League One
11.01.25	Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers	3:1 ✺
04.01.25	Huddersfield Town - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWWT
- Cambridge United
English League One
25.01.25	Cambridge United - Mansfield Town	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Bolton Wanderers - Cambridge United	2:2 ✺
04.01.25	Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
01.01.25	Cambridge United - Reading	1:3 ✺
29.12.24	Leyton Orient - Cambridge United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.10.24	Cambridge United - Rotherham United	0:1
English EFL Trophy
25.01.22	Rotherham United - Cambridge United	2:1 penalties
English League One
18.12.21	Cambridge United - Rotherham United	0:1
20.11.21	Rotherham United - Cambridge United	3:1
English League Cup
11.08.15	Rotherham United - Cambridge United	1:0

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