Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 13

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli (Campobasso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia
World	FIFA+


	Campobasso		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3	2.82
	2.94	3.15	2.72
	2.20	3.38	3.06	Watch
	2.48	2.88	2.76	Watch
	2.22	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.2)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.89 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
38%

Draw
29.8%

Sambenedettese
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

26.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Campobasso - Sambenedettese Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Campobasso will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Sambenedettese will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sambenedettese (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sambenedettese (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sambenedettese (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Rizzo M. (G) 2. Papini F. 79. Lancini E. 4. Celesia C. 75. Parisi F. 6. Brunet J. 5. Gargiulo M. 10. Gala A. 20. Martina A. 9. Magnaghi S. 26. Leonetti V.	22. Cultraro G. (G) 15. Zoboletti A. 17. Pezzola L. 21. Dalmazzi A. 14. Tosi F. 37. Toure M. 24. Alfieri V. 18. Candellori K. 23. Toure N. 9. Eusepi U. (C) 10. Sbaffo A.
Substitutes
13. Armini N. 8. Cerretelli F. 27. Cristallo C. 3. Lanza M. 17. Lombari A. 50. Muzi C. (G) 11. Nocerino L. 7. Padula C. 96. Ravaglioli T. 36. Serra A. 1. Tantalocchi E. (G)	11. Battista N. 8. Bongelli R. 5. Chelli M. 32. Chiatante F. 12. Grillo M. (G) 47. Konate A. 7. Marranzino P. 70. Martins K. 30. Napolitano L. 90. Scafetta F. 94. Tataranni F. 19. Vesprini R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Tosi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Toure M. ↓, Marranzino P. ↑,
64', Parisi F. ↓, Cristallo C. ↑,
75', Celesia C. 🟨,
76', Toure N. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
78', Magnaghi S. ↓, Padula C. ↑,
78', Gargiulo M. ↓, Cerretelli F. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Gala A. ⚽,
84', Martins K. 🟨,
86', Alfieri V. ↓, Battista N. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Eusepi U. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Campobasso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Campobasso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Campobasso - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.25	Arezzo - Campobasso	5:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Ternana - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Campobasso - Rimini	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Juventus U23 - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Campobasso - Ternana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
02.11.25	Sambenedettese - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Sambenedettese - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
26.10.25	Ascoli - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Livorno - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Sambenedettese - Ravenna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
14.04.24	Sambenedettese - Campobasso	0:1
03.12.23	Campobasso - Sambenedettese	1:0
17.01.16	Sambenedettese - Campobasso	2:1

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