Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Livorno		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.15	3
	2.38	3.19	3.01
	2.23	3.04	3.11	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.98)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	3.11 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
41.5%

Draw
29.1%

Sambenedettese
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

27.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

28.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Livorno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Livorno - Sambenedettese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Livorno will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Livorno (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Seghetti J. (G) 77. Mawete J. C. 26. Noce M. 6. Monaco S. 19. Antoni E. 55. Peralta D. 28. Hamlili Z. 14. Biondi K. 95. Marchesi F. 70. Cioffi A. 9. Dionisi F.	1. Orsini T. (G) 15. Zoboletti A. 4. Zini A. 17. Pezzola L. 14. Tosi F. 24. Alfieri V. 8. Bongelli R. 18. Candellori K. 47. Konate A. 9. Eusepi U. (C) 7. Marranzino P.
Substitutes
49. Baldi L. 44. Bonassi L. 16. Calvosa A. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 2. Gentile D. 15. Ghezzi S. 11. Malva A. 23. Marinari J. 5. Nwachukwu S. J. 4. Odjer M. 17. Panaioli L. 18. Panattoni M. 1. Tani F. (G)	11. Battista N. 5. Chelli M. 32. Chiatante F. 22. Cultraro G. (G) 21. Dalmazzi A. 12. Grillo M. (G) 77. Iaiunese C. 6. Lulli L. 70. Martins K. 30. Napolitano L. 10. Sbaffo A. 94. Tataranni F. 37. Toure M. 23. Toure N. 19. Vesprini R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Zini A. 🟨,
26', Hamlili Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', Marchesi F. 🟨,
60', Marranzino P. ↓, Toure N. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Cioffi A. ⚽,
67', Peralta D. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
68', Bongelli R. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
68', Zoboletti A. ↓, Dalmazzi A. ↑,
72', Dionisi F. 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Dionisi F. ⚽,
80', Cioffi A. ↓, Ghezzi S. ↑,
80', Dionisi F. ↓, Panattoni M. ↑,
80', Konate A. ↓, Iaiunese C. ↑,
80', Candellori K. ↓, Lulli L. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Toure N. ⚽,
90+3', Monaco S. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', Marchesi F. ↓, Bonassi L. ↑,
90+4', Mawete J. C. ↓, Baldi L. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Livorno is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sambenedettese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sambenedettese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Livorno is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.25	Pineto - Livorno	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Pianese - Livorno	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Livorno - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Bra - Livorno	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Livorno - Ascoli	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
12.10.25	Sambenedettese - Ravenna	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Sassari Torres - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Sambenedettese - Juventus U23	4:2 ✺
23.09.25	Perugia - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Sambenedettese - Carpi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWWL

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