Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Sambenedettese		Guidonia Montecelio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.35
	2.14	3.36	3.22	Watch
	2.06	2.95	3.61	Watch
	2.08	2.89	3.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.12)	3.08 ↓ (3.27)	3.5 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
43.9%

Draw
29.9%

Guidonia Montecelio
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Sambenedettese - Guidonia Montecelio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Orsini T. (G) 4. Zini A. 17. Pezzola L. 21. Dalmazzi A. 14. Tosi F. 7. Marranzino P. 24. Alfieri V. 18. Candellori K. 47. Konate A. 9. Eusepi U. (C) 23. Toure N.	12. Mazzi G. (G) 13. Mule E. 5. Cristini A. 2. Esempio S. 77. Zappella D. 33. Tascone S. 14. Santoro S. 21. Mastrantonio V. 8. Errico A. 10. Spavone A. 90. Bernardotto G.
Substitutes
11. Battista N. 8. Bongelli R. 5. Chelli M. 32. Chiatante F. 22. Cultraro G. (G) 12. Grillo M. (G) 77. Iaiunese C. 70. Martins K. 30. Napolitano L. 10. Sbaffo A. 90. Scafetta F. 94. Tataranni F. 19. Vesprini R. 15. Zoboletti A.	9. Cali A. 18. Calzone S. 20. Falleni A. 80. Franchini S. 24. Russo L. 7. Sannipoli D. 17. Stefanelli F. 1. Stellato G. (G) 99. Tessiore A. 32. Zuppel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Orsini T. ↓, Cultraro G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Marranzino P. ↓, Napolitano L. ↑,
64', Toure N. ↓, Sbaffo A. ↑,
67', Errico A. 🟨,
71', (Pen),
76', Spavone A. ↓, Zuppel D. ↑,
76', Tascone S. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
76', Mastrantonio V. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
77', Santoro S. 🟨,
81', Konate A. ↓, Scafetta F. ↑,
87', Zini A. 🟥,
89', 0 - 1, Sannipoli D. ⚽,
90+4', Franchini S. ↓, Cali A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Guidonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sambenedettese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Sambenedettese - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
26.10.25	Ascoli - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Livorno - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Sambenedettese - Ravenna	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Sassari Torres - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLLW
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gubbio - Guidonia Montecelio	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pianese	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Forlì - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Bra - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWLL

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