Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 30

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Sambenedettese		Ascoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.05	3.1	1.92	Watch
	4.59	3.21	1.87
	4.03	3.24	1.89	Watch
	4.2	2.9	1.83
	4.49	3.22	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.6)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	1.87 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
21.5%

Draw
29.4%

Ascoli
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

29.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

29.4%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sambenedettese - Ascoli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ascoli will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cultraro G. (G) 4. Zini A. 98. Lepri T. 21. Dalmazzi A. 80. Piccoli M. 18. Candellori K. 97. Maspero A. 7. Marranzino P. 27. Stoppa M. 11. Parigini V. 99. Semprini M.	1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 3. Nicoletti M. 17. Guiebre A. 4. Damiani S. 80. Corradini G. 14. Galuppini F. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
8. Bongelli R. 5. Chelli M. 32. Chiatante F. 9. Eusepi U. 47. Konate A. 82. Lonardo E. 6. Lulli L. 70. Martins K. 1. Orsini T. (G) 34. Ponzanetti M. (G) 14. Tosi F. 37. Toure M. 15. Zoboletti A.	24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 19. Menna D. 62. Milanese T. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 2. Pagliai G. 29. Palazzino F. 33. Rizzo N. 7. Silipo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Guiebre A. 🟨,
58', Semprini M. ↓, Eusepi U. ↑,
62', Galuppini F. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
66', Dalmazzi A. 🟨,
66', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,
75', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
76', Guiebre A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
78', Dalmazzi A. 🟥,
78', 🟨,
82', Maspero A. ↓, Lulli L. ↑,
82', Stoppa M. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
82', Marranzino P. ↓, Zoboletti A. ↑,
88', Corradini G. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
88', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Corazza S. ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Corazza S. ⚽,
90+1', Corazza S. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Sambenedettese is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ascoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Ascoli is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Sambenedettese	8	1	2	5	11:14	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
28.02.26	Sambenedettese - Livorno	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ravenna - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sambenedettese - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Juventus U23 - Sambenedettese	4:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sambenedettese - Perugia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
28.02.26	Ascoli - Carpi	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Pontedera - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Bra - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
12.02.26	Ascoli - Sassari Torres	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Pineto - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Sambenedettese - Ascoli	2:1
Italian Serie C Group B
26.10.25	Ascoli - Sambenedettese	1:0

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