Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Ascoli		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4.15	6.7
	1.38	4.43	7.67
	1.60	3.76	5.38	Watch
	1.43	3.9	7.02	Watch
	1.48	3.8	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.56)	4.01 ↑ (3.62)	6.45 ↑ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
62.8%

Draw
22.9%

Sambenedettese
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.5%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Ascoli - Sambenedettese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sambenedettese will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ascoli will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 33. Rizzo N. 30. Curado M. 3. Nicoletti M. 62. Milanese T. 4. Damiani S. 7. Silipo A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 9. Gori G.	1. Orsini T. (G) 4. Zini A. 17. Pezzola L. 21. Dalmazzi A. 14. Tosi F. 37. Toure M. 24. Alfieri V. 18. Candellori K. 47. Konate A. 9. Eusepi U. (C) 23. Toure N.
Substitutes
24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) . Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 80. Corradini G. 27. Cozzoli F. 19. Menna D. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 28. Palazzino F.	11. Battista N. 8. Bongelli R. 5. Chelli M. 32. Chiatante F. 22. Cultraro G. (G) 12. Grillo M. (G) 77. Iaiunese C. 7. Marranzino P. 70. Martins K. 30. Napolitano L. 10. Sbaffo A. 90. Scafetta F. 94. Tataranni F. 19. Vesprini R. 15. Zoboletti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Nicoletti M. ↓, Cozzoli F. ↑,
17', Candellori K. 🟨,
20', Rizzo Pinna A. 🟨,
34', Rizzo N. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Milanese T. ⚽,
45', Pezzola L. 🟨,
45', Toure M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Toure M. 🟨,
58', Damiani S. ↓, Corradini G. ↑,
60', Zini A. 🟨,
78', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
78', Milanese T. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
79', Silipo A. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
79', Eusepi U. ↓, Sbaffo A. ↑,
80', Cozzoli F. 🟨,
84', Alfieri V. ↓, Marranzino P. ↑,
90', Zini A. ↓, Battista N. ↑,
90', Toure N. ↓, Martins K. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 11).

Ascoli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sambenedettese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ascoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ascoli is the clear favorite.

We predict that Ascoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
20.10.25	Carpi - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Ascoli - Pontedera	5:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ascoli - Bra	4:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sassari Torres - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
23.09.25	Ascoli - Pineto	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWWW
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
18.10.25	Livorno - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Sambenedettese - Ravenna	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Sassari Torres - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Sambenedettese - Juventus U23	4:2 ✺
23.09.25	Perugia - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LLWWW

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