The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arezzo 64.9%
Draw 22.4%
Campobasso 12.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.2%
20.3%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.9%
19.3%
11%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Arezzo - Campobasso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 26. De Col F. 13. Gilli M. 19. Chiosa M. 37. Righetti S. 8. Eklu S. M. 7. Guccione F. 24. Chierico L. 10. Pattarello E. 71. Cianci P. 21. Tavernelli C.
1. Tantalocchi E. (G) 20. Martina A. 79. Lancini E. 4. Celesia C. 27. Cristallo C. 6. Brunet J. 5. Gargiulo M. 10. Gala A. 17. Lombari A. 9. Magnaghi S. 26. Leonetti V.
Substitutes
23. Arena M. 83. Ferrara G. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 78. Iaccarino G. 14. Meli M. 45. Perrotta F. 91. Ravasio M. 3. Tito F. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M.
13. Armini N. 14. Bifulco A. 8. Cerretelli F. 3. Lanza M. 50. Muzi C. (G) 11. Nocerino L. 2. Papini F. 75. Parisi F. 96. Ravaglioli T. 12. Rizzo M. (G) 36. Serra A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Cianci P. ⚽,
27', Guccione F. 🟨,
28', Celesia C. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Chiosa M. ↓, Gigli N. ↑,
46', Celesia C. ↓, Papini F. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Cianci P. ⚽,
59', Cianci P. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
59', Guccione F. ↓, Iaccarino G. ↑,
59', Lombari A. ↓, Ravaglioli T. ↑,
59', Gala A. ↓, Serra A. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Pattarello E. ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
69', Lancini E. ↓, Armini N. ↑,
74', Righetti S. ↓, Tito F. ↑,
74', Martina A. 🟨,
77', 4 - 1, Pattarello E. ⚽,
80', Magnaghi S. ↓, Bifulco A. ↑,
81', Pattarello E. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
84', Leonetti V. 🟥,
89', 5 - 1, Ravasio M. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Arezzo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Campobasso's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Arezzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Arezzo is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Arezzo will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Including home match between the teams, Arezzo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.