Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli (Campobasso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Campobasso		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.85	2.7
	2.48	2.92	2.88
	2.27	3.23	3.2
	1.34	4.49	9.28	Watch
	2.49	2.85	2.8	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.28)	3.21 ↑ (3)	3.94 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
43.8%

Draw
30.9%

Vis Pesaro
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.6%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Campobasso - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Campobasso will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Campobasso (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tantalocchi E. (G) 27. Cristallo C. 2. Papini F. 79. Lancini E. 4. Celesia C. 5. Gargiulo M. 8. Cerretelli F. 10. Gala A. 14. Bifulco A. 9. Magnaghi S. 26. Leonetti V.	1. Pozzi A. (G) 30. Beghetto A. 5. Tonucci D. 15. Ceccacci M. 21. Vezzoni F. 7. Pucciarelli M. 17. Paganini L. 71. Tavernaro F. 10. Di Paola M. 20. Giovannini R. 9. Nicastro F.
Substitutes
32. Di Livio L. 3. Lanza M. 17. Lombari A. 20. Martina A. 50. Muzi C. (G) 11. Nocerino L. 7. Padula C. 75. Parisi F. 18. Pierno R. 96. Ravaglioli T. 12. Rizzo M. (G) 36. Serra A.	77. Ascione S. 24. Berengo N. 4. Bove D. 6. Di Renzo G. 16. Ferrari T. 23. Forte M. 22. Fratti D. (G) 12. Guarnone A. (G) 14. Jallow S. 55. Mariani E. 8. Nina C. 13. Primasso A. 11. Stabile D. P. 99. Ventre A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Nicastro F. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Bifulco A. ⚽,
7', 🟨,
23', 2 - 1, Bifulco A. ⚽,
38', Cerretelli F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cerretelli F. ↓, Serra A. ↑,
51', Leonetti V. 🟨,
52', 2 - 2, Vezzoni F. ⚽,
59', Paganini L. ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
63', Jallow S. 🟨,
66', Cristallo C. ↓, Pierno R. ↑,
67', Leonetti V. ↓, Lombari A. ↑,
71', Tavernaro F. 🟨,
72', Beghetto A. ↓, Bove D. ↑,
72', Tavernaro F. ↓, Ventre A. ↑,
75', Magnaghi S. ↓, Padula C. ↑,
84', Nicastro F. ↓, Stabile D. P. ↑,
84', Tonucci D. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
85', Ceccacci M. 🟨,
89', Di Paola M. 🟨,
90+1', Gala A. ↓, Di Livio L. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vis Pesaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Campobasso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Campobasso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Vis Pesaro - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.31%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Livorno - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Campobasso - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Pontedera - Campobasso	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Campobasso - Pineto	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Carpi - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWLT
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Vis Pesaro - Pianese	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Vis Pesaro - Livorno	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Arezzo - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.25	Vis Pesaro - Campobasso	1:0
26.09.24	Campobasso - Vis Pesaro	3:2
Italian Serie D - Group F
10.12.17	Campobasso - Vis Pesaro	1:2
18.12.16	Vis Pesaro - Campobasso	4:0
20.03.16	Campobasso - Vis Pesaro	1:1

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