Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Livorno		Campobasso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	2.98	2.62
	2.76	3.14	2.61
	2.73	2.52	3.20	Watch
	2.53	3.05	2.9	Watch
	2.53	3.04	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.46)	2.95 ↓ (3.18)	2.79 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
35.1%

Draw
31.5%

Campobasso
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

28.7%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

30.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Livorno - Campobasso Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Livorno (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Livorno (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 15. Ghezzi S. 49. Baldi L. 26. Noce M. 19. Antoni E. 8. Welbeck N. 28. Hamlili Z. 14. Biondi K. 95. Marchesi F. 70. Cioffi A. 9. Dionisi F.	1. Tantalocchi E. (G) 27. Cristallo C. 2. Papini F. 4. Celesia C. 18. Pierno R. 5. Gargiulo M. 8. Cerretelli F. 10. Gala A. 14. Bifulco A. 9. Magnaghi S. 26. Leonetti V.
Substitutes
16. Calvosa A. 13. Di Carmine S. 2. Gentile D. 20. Haveri K. 11. Malva A. 23. Marinari J. 77. Mawete J. C. 6. Monaco S. 5. Nwachukwu S. J. 4. Odjer M. 17. Panaioli L. 18. Panattoni M. 55. Peralta D. 1. Tani F. (G)	32. Di Livio L. 79. Lancini E. 3. Lanza M. 17. Lombari A. 20. Martina A. 50. Muzi C. (G) 11. Nocerino L. 7. Padula C. 75. Parisi F. 96. Ravaglioli T. 15. Rianna M. 12. Rizzo M. (G) 36. Serra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Marchesi F. ↓, Panaioli L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Cerretelli F. ↓, Serra A. ↑,
60', Leonetti V. ↓, Di Livio L. ↑,
62', Pierno R. 🟨,
66', Cioffi A. ↓, Peralta D. ↑,
66', Dionisi F. ↓, Di Carmine S. ↑,
72', Pierno R. ↓, Martina A. ↑,
72', Magnaghi S. ↓, Padula C. ↑,
84', Biondi K. ↓, Mawete J. C. ↑,
84', Welbeck N. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
85', Peralta D. 🟨,
89', Gala A. ↓, Lombari A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Livorno is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Campobasso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Campobasso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Campobasso - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.19%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.25	Bra - Livorno	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Livorno - Ascoli	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Vis Pesaro - Livorno	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Juventus U23 - Livorno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL
- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.25	Campobasso - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Pontedera - Campobasso	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Campobasso - Pineto	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Carpi - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Campobasso - Sassari Torres	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLTW

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