Match Info

A-League Women - Round 20

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Wanderers Football Park (Sydney)

Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 5
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Western Sydney Wanderers		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.25	1.45
	6.22	4.65	1.47
	5.99	4.74	1.46	Watch
	5.5	4	1.44
	5.71	4.47	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (4.24)	4.42 ↑ (3.82)	1.46 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Sydney Wanderers
16%

Draw
20.9%

Melbourne City
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

23.6%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

23.1%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Sydney Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Khamis S. (G) 11. Matos D. 4. Hooks P. 7. Harrison A. (C) 22. Cerne A. 37. Harada E. 14. Buchanan E. 5. Bennett A. 6. Chessari A. 30. Collins A. 19. Younis T.	24. Mieres M. (G) 16. Roestbakken K. 13. Stott R. (C) 5. Otto T. 3. Turner D. 12. McMahon S. 18. Davidson L. 6. McKenna L. 7. Butrus D. 22. Henry B. 15. Uchendu C.
Substitutes
12. Edwards B. (G) 24. Fazzari N. 17. Ng-Saad A. 3. Ying Wang 10. Yuan C. 23. Zumaya M.	8. Apostolakis A. 23. Barbieri M. (G) 14. Hughes L. 11. Jackson D. 21. Keane A. 9. McNamara H.
Coaches
Abrahams G.	Matricciani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Uchendu C. 🟥,
24', 0 - 1, McKenna L. ⚽, Henry B. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Henry B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bennett A. ↓, Yuan C. ↑,
46', Butrus D. ↓, Keane A. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Younis T. ⚽, Chessari A. (A),
57', Collins A. 🟨,
58', Collins A. ↓, Ng-Saad A. ↑,
62', Matos D. ↓, Zumaya M. ↑,
71', Davidson L. ↓, Hughes L. ↑,
77', Hooks P. ↓, Ying Wang ↑,
77', Harada E. ↓, Fazzari N. ↑,
80', McKenna L. ↓, McNamara H. ↑,
80', McMahon S. ↓, Apostolakis A. ↑,
90+1', Henry B. ↓, Jackson D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, WS Wanderers won 2.

WS Wanderers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Melbourne City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Melbourne City is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, WS Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, WS Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Melbourne City - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.05%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Sydney Wanderers Women
Australian A-League Women
14.03.26	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Canberra United - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:0 ✺
13.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLTLW
- Melbourne City FC Women
Australian A-League Women
18.03.26	Melbourne City - Adelaide United	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Melbourne City - Canberra United	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
04.02.26	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1
25.01.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	0:1
29.11.24	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:0
14.01.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:0
12.11.23	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:3
20.01.23	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0
08.01.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	2:0

Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide