The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Canberra United 59.5%
Draw 21.2%
Brisbane Roar 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.3%
22.2%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
21.5%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Canberra United - Brisbane Roar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. James S. (G) 8. Grove S. 12. Taylor-Young H. 11. Robers E. 33. Sasaki N. 32. Gordon B. 3. Anton E. 7. Hawkins E. 6. Aulicino J. 23. Heyman M. (C) 13. Christopherson S.
1. Lincoln C. (G) 8. Studer J. 6. Cuthbert R. 11. Seidl M. 2. Beard A. 32. Woods A. 4. Stephenson K. 5. Medwin A. 27. Miller A. 7. Hayashi M. (C) 17. Jansen B.
Substitutes
16. Bobbin K. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 25. Malone D. 2. McKenzie A. 20. Skelly L. 10. Stanic-Floody M.
12. Franco T. (G) 47. Hanson K. 18. Kinsella A. 15. Meyers K. 22. Piazza A. 13. Yallop T.
Coaches
Jagarinec A.
Smith A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Jansen B. ↓, Meyers K. ↑,
19', Hawkins E. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Medwin A. ⚽, Stephenson K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Stephenson K. ↓, Kinsella A. ↑,
46', Robers E. ↓, McKenzie A. ↑,
58', Meyers K. ↓, Yallop T. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Heyman M. ⚽, Gordon B. (A),
68', 1 - 2, Woods A. ⚽,
68', Aulicino J. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
72', Sasaki N. 🟨,
77', Sasaki N. ↓, Bobbin K. ↑,
84', Heyman M. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
84', Christopherson S. ↓, Skelly L. ↑,
90', Lincoln C. 🟨,
90+4', Stanic-Floody M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Canberra United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Brisbane Roar has had a series of home games.
In this match, Canberra United is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:37. (average 1.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Canberra United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.7:1.3).