The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Canberra United 44.6%
Draw 25%
Adelaide United 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
24.6%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
25.2%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canberra United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canberra United's form might have worsened.
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canberra United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Canberra United - Adelaide United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. James S. (G) 8. Grove S. 12. Taylor-Young H. 11. Robers E. 13. Christopherson S. 32. Gordon B. 33. Sasaki N. 3. Anton E. (C) 28. Bertolissio T. 6. Aulicino J. 7. Hawkins E.
30. Melegh I. (G) 17. Tolland Z. 13. Tonkin E. (C) 3. McNamara M. 2. Hodgson E. 5. Morgan S. 8. Condon E. 9. Zois P. 15. Taranto A. 10. Dawber C. 22. Healy E.
Substitutes
9. De Domizio K. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 25. Malone D. 20. Skelly L. 10. Stanic-Floody M. 5. Wardlow J.
27. Dewey S. 25. Gooch L. 11. Hodgson I. 16. Holmes D. 21. Jenkins C. (G) 12. Rossi C.
Coaches
Jagarinec A.
Tsiounis T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Gordon B. ⚽, Hawkins E. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Morgan S. ⚽, Dawber C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Healy E. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
56', McNamara M. 🟨,
63', Taranto A. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
67', Sasaki N. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Melegh I. (Own goal),
76', Grove S. ↓, Wardlow J. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Hawkins E. ⚽,
78', Zois P. ↓, Rossi C. ↑,
78', Condon E. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
82', Bertolissio T. ↓, Skelly L. ↑,
82', Hawkins E. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
82', Aulicino J. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
87', Morgan S. ↓, Dewey S. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Dewey S. ⚽, Dawber C. (A),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 1.
Canberra United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Adelaide United is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Canberra United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Canberra United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:32. (average 2.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Canberra United won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 2.8:1.5).
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James S. (G) 
Sasaki N. 
Anton E. (C) 
Aulicino J. 
Healy E. 
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