Match Info

A-League Women - Round 19

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Home of the Matildas (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Melbourne Victory		Western Sydney Wanderers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4.15	5.9
	1.47	4.67	6.24
	1.42	4.91	6.42	Watch
	1.4	4	5.5
	1.41	4.3	6.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.46)	4.41 ↑ (4.21)	6.06 ↑ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory
64.1%

Draw
20.8%

Western Sydney Wanderers
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

21.3%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Newbon C. (G) 24. Pickett L. 3. Bunge C. 18. Morrison K. (C) 4. Blissett C. 23. Lowe R. 6. Ray T. 9. Furphy H. 10. Pollicina R. 5. Sakalis S. 16. White K.	20. Khamis S. (G) 22. Cerne A. 4. Hooks P. 14. Buchanan E. 5. Bennett A. 7. Harrison A. (C) 6. Chessari A. 11. Matos D. 19. Younis T. 30. Collins A. 24. Fazzari N.
Substitutes
27. Curtis R. 66. Jancevski A. 81. Maher G. 7. O'Grady E. 28. Techera S. 30. Woodward P. (G)	12. Edwards B. (G) 37. Harada E. 13. Khoshaba A. 17. Ng-Saad A. 15. Rue C. 23. Zumaya M.
Coaches
Hopkins J.	Abrahams G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Furphy H. ⚽,
61', Fazzari N. ↓, Ng-Saad A. ↑,
65', Furphy H. 🟨,
66', Pollicina R. ↓, Jancevski A. ↑,
70', Chessari A. 🟨,
74', Chessari A. ↓, Harada E. ↑,
74', Younis T. ↓, Zumaya M. ↑,
82', Hooks P. ↓, Rue C. ↑,
83', Lowe R. ↓, Maher G. ↑,
89', Furphy H. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of home games.

In this match, Melbourne Victory is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory Women
Australian A-League Women
20.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Canberra United - Melbourne Victory	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWLT
- Western Sydney Wanderers Women
Australian A-League Women
21.02.26	Canberra United - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:0 ✺
13.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Sydney FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
09.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	1:4
06.04.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	0:1
05.01.25	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:4
16.02.24	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:0
30.12.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	2:0
03.02.23	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:1
18.01.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	0:0

Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide