Match Info

A-League Women - Round 21

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington)

Referee: Ryan M. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Wellington Phoenix		Western Sydney Wanderers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.22	5.5	9	Watch
	1.23	6.54	10.12
	1.26	6.05	9.66	Watch
	1.2	5.5	9.5
	1.25	5.82	10.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.38)	5.88 ↑ (5.03)	9.78 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix
74.9%

Draw
15.7%

Western Sydney Wanderers
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

18.5%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Phoenix's performance.

Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Esson V. (G) 5. Walker E. 4. Barry M. (C) 16. Van der Meer M. 11. Elliott M. 23. Nunn B. 7. Jale G. 32. Pijnenburg E. 24. Vlok P. 31. Woods M. 30. Anthony M.	20. Khamis S. (G) 14. Buchanan E. 4. Hooks P. 3. Ying Wang 11. Matos D. 6. Chessari A. 7. Harrison A. (C) 37. Harada E. 13. Khoshaba A. 30. Collins A. 17. Ng-Saad A.
Substitutes
27. Benson Z. 15. Brazendale D. 22. Feinberg-Danieli A. (G) 8. Fraser M. 3. Jaber T. 14. Leon L.	21. Barker A. 22. Cerne A. 12. Edwards B. (G) 24. Fazzari N. 10. Yuan C. 23. Zumaya M.
Coaches
Priestman B.	Abrahams G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Hooks P. ↓, Cerne A. ↑,
55', Elliott M. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
55', Anthony M. ↓, Leon L. ↑,
55', Pijnenburg E. ↓, Fraser M. ↑,
60', Collins A. ↓, Yuan C. ↑,
60', Ng-Saad A. ↓, Barker A. ↑,
77', Nunn B. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Yuan C. ⚽,
86', Harrison A. ↓, Fazzari N. ↑,
88', Van der Meer M. ↓, Jaber T. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 5.

Recent performances by Wellington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

WS Wanderers is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

WS Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wellington is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix Women
Australian A-League Women
25.03.26	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWTL
- Western Sydney Wanderers Women
Australian A-League Women
22.03.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Canberra United - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:0 ✺
13.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
30.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	0:3
08.03.25	Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:1
09.01.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	0:3
29.03.24	Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:0
22.10.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	0:3
11.02.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	1:0
01.01.23	Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1

Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide