Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 11

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: McKellar Park (Canberra)

Referee: Durcau R. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Play, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Canberra United		Western United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.35
	2.46	3.6	2.4
	2.55	3.76	2.46	Watch
	2.88	3.5	2.15
	2.49	3.52	2.36	Watch
	2.46	3.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.64)	3.56 ↓ (4.03)	2.35 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canberra United
35.7%

Draw
25.6%

Western United
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

22.8%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

22%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Canberra United - Western United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. James S. (G) 12. Taylor-Young H. 5. Ayson M. 3. Anton E. 28. Bertolissio T. 11. Robers E. 25. Malone D. 32. Gordon B. 10. Stanic-Floody M. 23. Heyman M. 13. Christopherson S.	1. Dall'Oste A. (G) 24. Sardo J. 4. Mihocic C. 8. Grove S. 18. Maher G. 2. Roach E. 6. Logarzo C. 16. Taranto M. 5. Medwin A. 10. Johnson K. 34. Zimmerman C.
Substitutes
7. Dos Santos J. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 17. Markovski M. 8. Miro T. 4. Murray H.	7. De Domizio K. 28. Dehakiz I. 11. Ibarguen S. 36. Lincoln C. (G) 15. Taranto A.
Coaches
Jagarinec A.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Zimmerman C. ⚽, Logarzo C. (A),
18', Bertolissio T. ↓, Murray H. ↑,
21', 1 - 1, Mihocic C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Christopherson S. ⚽,
54', Mihocic C. ↓, Dehakiz I. ↑,
65', Stanic-Floody M. ↓, Dos Santos J. ↑,
65', Malone D. ↓, Markovski M. ↑,
67', Dos Santos J. 🟨,
70', Logarzo C. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
71', Roach E. ↓, Taranto A. ↑,
78', Heyman M. ↓, Miro T. ↑,
80', Johnson K. ↓, Ibarguen S. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canberra United
Australian A-League Women
04.01.25	Brisbane Roar - Canberra United	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Canberra United - Newcastle Jets	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Canberra United - Melbourne Victory	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Melbourne City - Canberra United	4:2 ✺
30.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Canberra United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLLL
- Western United Women
Australian A-League Women
03.01.25	Western United - Newcastle Jets	2:0 ✺
29.12.24	Western United - Brisbane Roar	2:8 ✺
22.12.24	Central Coast Mariners - Western United	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Western United	5:1 ✺
08.12.24	Western United - Sydney FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
01.03.24	Western United - Canberra United	4:2
30.12.23	Canberra United - Western United	1:1
25.03.23	Western United - Canberra United	0:3
27.01.23	Canberra United - Western United	0:5

Canberra United - Western United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide