The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brisbane Roar 35.6%
Draw 26%
Canberra United 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
25.3%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
24.3%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Canberra United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canberra United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brisbane Roar - Canberra United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Canberra United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lincoln C. (G) 5. Medwin A. 2. Varley L. 3. Brown D. 8. Studer J. 11. Seidl M. 32. Woods A. 27. Miller A. 7. Hayashi M. 17. Jansen B. 15. Meyers K.
1. James S. (G) 8. Grove S. 12. Taylor-Young H. 11. Robers E. 13. Christopherson S. 32. Gordon B. 3. Anton E. 5. Wardlow J. 25. Malone D. 6. Aulicino J. 23. Heyman M.
Substitutes
6. Cuthbert R. 12. Franco T. (G) 24. Freier S. 18. Kinsella A. 22. Piazza A. 4. Stephenson K.
44. Briedis A. 19. Dale S. 7. Hawkins E. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 2. McKenzie A. 10. Stanic-Floody M.
Coaches
Smith A.
Jagarinec A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Christopherson S. ⚽,
20', Studer J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Brown D. ⚽, Miller A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Wardlow J. ↓, McKenzie A. ↑,
57', Meyers K. ↓, Freier S. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Freier S. ⚽, Lincoln C. (A),
70', Malone D. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
70', Brown D. ↓, Stephenson K. ↑,
73', Aulicino J. 🟨,
74', Christopherson S. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
83', Robers E. ↓, Hawkins E. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Jansen B. ⚽,
90+4', Jansen B. ↓, Piazza A. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Brisbane Roar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:38. (average 1.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2.2:1.3).