Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo (Cancún)

Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)


	Cancún		Cruz Azul Hidalgo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.30	2.80
	2.04	3.30	3.20	Watch
	2.26	3.67	3.03
	2.01	3.75	3.33	Watch
	2.20	3.60	3.00
	2.26	3.41	3.01	Watch
	2.15	3.35	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.09)	3.48 ↓ (3.62)	3.03 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cancún
42.9%

Draw
26.5%

Cruz Azul Hidalgo
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Cruz Azul Hidalgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul Hidalgo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Cancún - Cruz Azul Hidalgo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cancún will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cruz Azul Hidalgo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce E. (G) 3. Hernandez J. 15. Guillen D. 2. Alvarez A. 7. El-mesmari B. 8. Melendre F. 5. Chavez A. 17. Lopez L. 14. Campos K. 11. Trejo C. 12. Rodriguez J. (C)	30. Ochoa E. (G) 70. Silva I. 28. Rubio R. (C) 66. Suarez J. 47. De Los Rios S. 63. Saavedra Nevarez A. A. 58. Sanchez E. 50. Gonzalez K. 41. Derbez L. 68. Valdivia C. 27. Gamboa B.
Substitutes
20. Arredondo A. 9. Gigena T. 27. Gutierrez G. 16. Lomeli D. 18. Montiel Herrera E. A. (G) 19. Preciado G. 33. Ruiz L. 139. Salaya De La Cruz C. 10. Uscanga P. 24. Vela C.	203. Camacho X. 258. Castaneda E. 69. Cubillas A. 44. Leon C. 183. Palacios K. 59. Ramirez D. 62. Rodriguez E. 13. Rodriguez R. (G) 53. Taboada V. 222. Villegas E.
Coaches
Bravo M.	Landazabal E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, El-mesmari B. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Trejo C. ⚽,
29', Silva I. 🟨,
31', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
33', Silva I. 🟨,
38', Valdivia C. ↓, Leon C. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', De Los Rios S. ↓, Camacho X. ↑,
46', Gamboa B. ↓, Castaneda E. ↑,
58', Guillen D. 🟨,
59', Lopez L. 🟨,
61', Guillen D. ↓, Ruiz L. ↑,
61', Lopez L. ↓, Uscanga P. ↑,
68', Campos K. ↓, Vela C. ↑,
73', Sanchez E. ↓, Cubillas A. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, El-mesmari B. (A),
80', Hernandez J. ↓, Arredondo A. ↑,
82', Melendre F. ↓, Preciado G. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Vela C. ⚽, Trejo C. (A),
84', Derbez L. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 0, Rodriguez J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', 6 - 0, Trejo C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cancún may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cancún will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cancun	11	5	2	4	19:15	4	17
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	11:18	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cancún FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
27.08.26	Cancún - Atlético La Paz	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Cancún	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Cancún - Alacranes de Durango	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Atlético Morelia - Cancún	4:1 ✺
01.08.26	Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWLL
- Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.08.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Tepatitlán de Morelos	6:0 ✺
21.08.26	Atlético La Paz - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Atlético Morelia	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Venados	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Tapatío - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLTT

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