The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 24.3%
Draw 24.3%
Tlaxcala 51.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.4%
25.9%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
25.8%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul Hidalgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruz Azul Hidalgo's form might have worsened.
Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tlaxcala's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul Hidalgo than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruz Azul Hidalgo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tlaxcala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Tlaxcala Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cruz Azul Hidalgo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Tlaxcala will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th and 8th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In recent outings, Cruz Azul Hidalgo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tlaxcala shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tlaxcala may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Cruz Azul Hidalgo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.
Specifically in home fixtures for Cruz Azul Hidalgo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Tlaxcala
14
5
4
5
27:27
0
19
15
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
14
3
5
6
17:22
-5
14
Outrights of Mexican Liga de Expansion MX for now
Tlaxcala: 3.77% Cruz Azul Hidalgo: 0.66%
Last Results with these Odds
Tlaxcala - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.77%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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