Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo (Cancún)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cancún		Leones Negros UdeG

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.30	3.60
	1.82	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4.41
	1.88	3.65	3.88	Watch
	1.77	3.7	4.3
	1.79	3.77	4.07	Watch
	1.81	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)	3.6 ↑ (3.53)	4 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cancún
51.1%

Draw
25.8%

Leones Negros UdeG
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cancún will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce E. (G) 6. Cortes J. 15. Guillen D. 3. Hernandez J. 14. Campos K. 5. Chavez A. 10. Uscanga P. (C) 7. El-mesmari B. 8. Melendre F. 12. Rodriguez J. 11. Trejo C.	1. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 161. Escalante J. 21. Gonzalez O. 24. Aguayo J. 5. Torres U. 10. Brigido J. 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 6. Marchand J. (C) 34. Hernandez S. A. 20. Gil O. 19. Loera K.
Substitutes
20. Arredondo A. 22. Echevarria U. 9. Gigena T. 16. Lomeli D. 17. Lopez L. 18. Montiel Herrera E. A. (G) 19. Preciado G. 33. Ruiz L. 139. Salaya De La Cruz C. 24. Vela C.	15. Carreon A. 12. Martin S. (G) 27. Meza U. 7. Munoz D. 167. Nuno M. 11. Perez J. 31. Valenzuela M.
Coaches
Bravo M.	Sosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ⚽, Gil O. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Brigido J. ⚽, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. (A),
26', Uscanga P. 🟨,
40', Torres U. 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', El-mesmari B. ↓, Preciado G. ↑,
46', Chavez A. ↓, Arredondo A. ↑,
56', Escalante J. 🟨,
59', Loera K. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
60', Brigido J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
69', Gil O. ↓, Carreon A. ↑,
69', Uscanga P. ↓, Gigena T. ↑,
69', Cortes J. ↓, Ruiz L. ↑,
79', Campos K. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
82', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
85', Aguayo J. 🟨,
90+3', Escalante J. 🟨,
90+7', Marchand J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.

Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cancún is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros	11	7	2	2	27:16	11	23
7	Cancun	11	5	2	4	19:15	4	17

Last Results with these Odds

Cancún - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.39%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cancún FC
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Cancún - UNAM	0:3 ✺
03.07.26	Cancún - Toluca	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Cancún - Monterrey	1:4 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.05.26	Cancún - Jaiba Brava	1:1 ✺
30.04.26	Jaiba Brava - Cancún	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLTL
- Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.07.26	Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG	2:4 ✺
19.04.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Venados - Leones Negros UdeG	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético Morelia	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
19.04.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún	1:2
08.11.25	Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG	0:1
23.02.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún	1:0
07.09.24	Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG	0:1
09.02.24	Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún	2:0
05.10.23	Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG	2:0
11.01.23	Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG	2:2

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