Match Info

PORTUGAL: TAÇA DE PORTUGAL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Canelas		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.5
	5.75	4	1.46	Watch
	6	4.33	1.47
	7.4	4.16	1.45
	7.4	4.16	1.43
	6	4.2	1.44
	6.6	4.33	1.47
	6.2	4.2	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.48 ↑ (3.62)	4.21 ↑ (3.26)	1.46 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canelas
14.3%

Draw
22.1%

Marítimo
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

28%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

27.6%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canelas's form might have worsened.

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marítimo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canelas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marítimo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Canelas - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Canelas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Marítimo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Canelas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marítimo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marítimo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marítimo is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Canelas 2010
Portuguese Liga 3
12.11.23	Canelas - Sanjoanense	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Anadia - Canelas	1:4 ✺
29.10.23	Canelas - Fafe	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Canelas - Chaves	1:0 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
07.10.23	Trofense - Canelas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 64 LWWWT
- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
19.11.23	Marítimo - Torreense	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Leixões - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Leiria - Marítimo	4:3 ✺
28.10.23	Marítimo - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Marítimo - Mortágua	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLTW

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