Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Marítimo (Funchal)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)


	Marítimo		Torreense

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.02	3.3	3.5
	2	3.41	4.08
	2.04	3.32	3.68
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	2.06	3.24	3.57	Watch
	1.93	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.08)	3.27 ↓ (3.29)	3.68 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
46.5%

Draw
28.3%

Torreense
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.2%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.7%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Marítimo - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: Marítimo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marítimo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samu (G) 6. Andrade R. 5. Madsen N. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 14. Raphael Guzzo 18. Danilovic V. 21. Bouzaidi S. 28. Carlos Daniel 10. Tejon M. 3. Butzke A.	1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 93. Mohamed D. 4. Casas A. 23. Vazquez J. 10. Costinha 6. Leo Silva 65. Guilherme Liberato 20. Pite (C) 11. Pozo M. 7. Jean D.
Substitutes
90. Borukov P. 8. Cruz M. 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 25. Freitas A. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 98. Ibrahima 7. Pena Zauner E. 1. Tabuaco G. (G) 79. Tavares M.	77. Afonso Peixoto 46. Agbor B. 99. Arielson 56. Caio Amaral 57. Danilo 17. Drammeh M. 42. Ipalibo J. 13. Perez U. (G) 31. Seydi I.
Coaches
Moita M.	Martins V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Jean D. 🟨,
21', Jean D. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Raphael Guzzo ⚽,
30', Bouzaidi S. 🟨,
42', Correia R. 🟨,
45+1', Henrique P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', David Bruno ↓, Danilo ↑,
61', Andrade R. ↓, Freitas A. ↑,
65', Madsen N. 🟨,
66', Pozo M. ↓, Seydi I. ↑,
66', Costinha ↓, Arielson ↑,
76', Danilovic V. ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
77', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↑,
82', Guilherme Liberato ↓, Afonso Peixoto ↑,
82', Vazquez J. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
83', Seydi I. 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Butzke A. ⚽,
86', Butzke A. ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
86', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
88', Casas A. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 7).

Marítimo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Torreense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marítimo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Marítimo - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.64%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
30.11.25	Portimonense - Marítimo	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Marítimo - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Marítimo - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Oliveirense - Marítimo	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Marítimo - Leiria	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
30.11.25	Torreense - Chaves	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.25	Lusitânia - Torreense	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
09.11.25	Leixões - Torreense	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Torreense - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Portimonense - Torreense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
26.04.25	Torreense - Marítimo	2:2
15.12.24	Marítimo - Torreense	0:3
07.04.24	Torreense - Marítimo	0:0
19.11.23	Marítimo - Torreense	1:2

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