Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 11

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)


	Cangzhou Mighty Lions		Zhejiang Professional

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.6	Watch
	4.33	4.2	1.61
	4.5	4.33	1.63	Watch
	3.84	3.75	1.9
	4.34	4.47	1.67
	4.33	4.33	1.57
	4.49	4.49	1.66	Watch
	4.1	4.3	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (2.31)	4.26 ↑ (3.31)	1.66 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
21.5%

Draw
22%

Zhejiang Professional
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cangzhou Mighty Lions's form might have worsened.

Zhejiang Professional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zhejiang Professional's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cangzhou Mighty Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhejiang Professional than the current prediction. (-25%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zhejiang Professional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Zhejiang Professional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Shao Puliang (C) 36. Yang Yun 3. Sunzu S. 16. Zheng Kaimu 17. Wen Da 15. Wang Peng 8. Zhao Yingjie 32. Sun M. 10. Taty Maritu O. 31. Solomon-Otabor V. 9. Heber	1. Dong Chunyu (C) 8. N'Doumbou A. 2. Leung Nok-Hang 36. Possignolo L. 5. Liu Haofan 10. Li Tixiang 20. Wang Dongsheng 22. Cheng Jin 11. Andrijasevic F. 7. Owusu-Sekyere D. 45. Leonardo
Substitutes
26. Guo Yunqi 29. Han Feng (G) 33. Hu Jiali 23. Li Hong 20. Liu Xinyu 27. Ma Fuyu 1. Sun Jianxiang (G) 13. Sun Qinhan 11. Tudi Dilyimit 18. Yao X. 7. Zheng Dalun	18. Abdusalam A. 9. Gao Di 31. Gu Bin 17. Kouassi J. E. 26. Sun Guowen 4. Sun Zheng'ao 39. Wang Y. 3. Wang Yang 14. Wu Wei 6. Yao Junsheng 29. Zhang Jiaqi 33. Zhao Bo (G)
Coaches
Zhao Junzhe	Vinyals J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', N'Doumbou A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Liu Haofan 🟨,
70', Cheng Jin ↓, Yao Junsheng ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Leonardo ⚽, Andrijasevic F. (A),
81', Yang Yun ↓, Zheng Dalun ↑,
84', Liu Haofan ↓, Wang Yang ↑,
84', N'Doumbou A. ↓, Zhang Jiaqi ↑,
90+2', Leonardo 🟨,
90+2', Shao Puliang 🟨,
90+4', Owusu-Sekyere D. ↓, Sun Guowen ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 2.

Cangzhou is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zhejiang Professional is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zhejiang Professional will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Cangzhou won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
05.05.24	Meizhou Hakka - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
01.05.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0 ✺
26.04.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:3 ✺
20.04.24	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:1 ✺
14.04.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao West Coast	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLLLW
- Zhejiang Professional FC
Chinese Super League
05.05.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Zhejiang Professional	4:0 ✺
30.04.24	Zhejiang Professional - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:1 ✺
26.04.24	Zhejiang Professional - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Zhejiang Professional - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	3:2 ✺
14.04.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Zhejiang Professional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
29.10.23	Zhejiang Professional - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	6:1
02.07.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Zhejiang Professional	2:1
13.11.22	Zhejiang Professional - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	3:3
24.08.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Zhejiang Professional	1:1
Chinese Jia League
20.07.19	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Zhejiang Professional	2:1
31.03.19	Zhejiang Professional - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:0
07.10.18	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Zhejiang Professional	0:0

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