Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Rayo Vallecano B		Carabanchel

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.65	4.5
	1.7	3.55	4.34
	1.67	3.62	4.66	Watch
	1.64	3.58	4.82
	1.66	3.65	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.45)	3.61 ↓ (3.97)	4.56 ↓ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano B
54.7%

Draw
25.3%

Carabanchel
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.9%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

21.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Vallecano B's form might have worsened.

Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabanchel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carabanchel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rayo Vallecano B - Carabanchel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Ybarra J. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Baladia A. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Domenech F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', 2 - 2, Vallinot D. ⚽,
82', 3 - 2, Ybarra J. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 3, Domenech F. (Pen),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano B won 2.

Rayo Vallecano B in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Carabanchel is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Rayo Vallecano B is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rayo Vallecano B to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano B won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 4.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.03.25	El Álamo - Rayo Vallecano B	2:4 ✺
23.02.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Collado Villalba	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Trival Valderas	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Aravaca - Rayo Vallecano B	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.03.25	Carabanchel - Leganés B	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Tres Cantos - Carabanchel	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Carabanchel - Cala Pozuelo	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Carabanchel - El Álamo	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Collado Villalba - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.10.24	Carabanchel - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1
27.02.22	Carabanchel - Rayo Vallecano B	0:0
30.10.21	Rayo Vallecano B - Carabanchel	6:2
17.11.19	Carabanchel - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1
10.02.19	Carabanchel - Rayo Vallecano B	2:0
23.09.18	Rayo Vallecano B - Carabanchel	3:1

Rayo Vallecano B - Carabanchel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide