Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade Pierre de Coubertin (Cannes)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cannes		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.22	Watch
	3.2	3.48	2.27
	3.15	3.32	2.24	Watch
	3.2	3	2.25
	3.19	3.29	2.21	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.94)	3.31 ↑ (3.07)	2.22 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cannes
29.6%

Draw
28.3%

Guingamp
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

30.5%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

30.2%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cannes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cannes's performance.

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cannes than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cannes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	30%	40%

Cannes - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cannes will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Guingamp will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Vanni F. (G) 20. Vinci L. 19. Smith J. 27. Abderrahmane H. 6. Goncalves C. 11. Abbas C. 15. Ndoye C. 25. Moussa N'Diaye A. 12. Fischer M. 22. Domingues J. 21. Mambu J.	30. Niasse B. (G) 22. Sissoko A. 18. Nair S. 7. Gomis D. 31. Ourega D. 23. Luvambo T. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 8. Sidibe K. 10. Picard H. 13. Hemia A. 17. Siwe J.
Substitutes
40. Aymes J. (G) 10. Blanc M. 9. Chambon H. 14. Goncalves A. 4. Kamissoko M. 17. Lopes M. 23. Mai D. 29. Segbe Azankpo D. 8. Trinker T.	1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 21. Ghrieb R. 19. Guendouz S. 9. Labeau B. 2. Maronnier L. 29. Mendes J. A. 5. Phiri L. 26. Riou M. 11. Sagna A.
Coaches
Ott D.	Ripoll S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Abderrahmane H. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Abbas C. ⚽, Goncalves C. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Goncalves C. ⚽, Vinci L. (A),
36', Louiserre D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Luvambo T. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
46', Sissoko A. ↓, Maronnier L. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Siwe J. ⚽, Ourega D. (A),
48', Maronnier L. 🟨,
55', Louiserre D. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
56', Ndoye C. 🟨,
69', 3 - 1, Domingues J. ⚽, Moussa N'Diaye A. (A),
71', Goncalves C. 🟨,
75', Picard H. ↓, Guendouz S. ↑,
75', Abbas C. ↓, Blanc M. ↑,
84', Mambu J. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
84', Goncalves C. ↓, Mai D. ↑,
90+2', Domingues J. ↓, Segbe Azankpo D. ↑,

Preview

Cannes in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Guingamp is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cannes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cannes have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Guingamp: Le Bris T. (Injury) Maronnier L. (Injury) Ndour A. (Injury) Planeix I. (Knee Injury) Sagna A. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cannes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Including matches at home between the teams Cannes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cannes
Coupe De France
05.02.25	Cannes - Dives	5:3 ✺
French National 1 - Group A
01.02.25	Cannes - Toulon	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	Cannes - Le Puy	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	GFA Rumilly Vallières - Cannes	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Cannes - Lorient	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWTW
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
21.02.25	Grenoble - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Guingamp - Metz	0:3 ✺
08.02.25	Ajaccio - Guingamp	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
05.02.25	Toulouse - Guingamp	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
01.02.25	Guingamp - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
26.03.14	Cannes - Guingamp	0:2

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