Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Guingamp		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3	2.3
	3.3	3	2.3	Watch
	3.42	3.1	2.4
	3.47	3.04	2.23
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	3.47	3.08	2.28	Watch
	3.3	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.64)	3.04 ↓ (3.24)	2.3 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
28.3%

Draw
30.8%

Paris FC
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guingamp's form might have worsened.

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guingamp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Guingamp - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Paris FC will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Basilio E. (G) 26. Riou M. 7. Gomis D. 18. Nair S. 31. Ourega D. 19. Guendouz S. 8. Sidibe K. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 10. Picard H. 9. Labeau B. 23. Luvambo T.	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 39. Tourraine M. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 28. De Smet T. 21. Lopez M. 4. Marchetti V. 7. Gory A. 11. Krasso J. 20. Lopez J. 12. Dicko N.
Substitutes
35. Dupont H. 21. Ghrieb R. 34. Godame T. 24. Lemonnier P. 29. Mendes J. A. 30. Niasse B. (G) 5. Phiri L.	22. Alakouch S. 17. Camara A. 31. Chergui S. 8. Doucet L. 10. Kebbal I. 2. Ollila T. 1. Riou R. (G)
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Mbow M. ⚽, Krasso J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Gory A. 🟨,
63', Lopez J. 🟨,
64', Dicko N. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
66', De Smet T. 🟨,
70', Luvambo T. 🟨,
75', Luvambo T. ↓, Mendes J. A. ↑,
75', Guendouz S. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
78', Marchetti V. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
78', Lopez J. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
85', Louiserre D. ↓, Phiri L. ↑,
85', Labeau B. ↓, Godame T. ↑,
87', Gory A. ↓, Chergui S. ↑,
90+7', Kolodziejczak T. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 1.

Guingamp in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paris FC is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paris FC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Guingamp: Planeix I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: Chergui S. (Knock) Gueye L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Guingamp: Ghrieb R. (Muscle Injury) Hemia A. (Knee Injury) Phiri L. (Hip Injury) Sagna A. (Injury) Siwe J. (Muscle Injury) Vallier L. (Calf Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
24.01.25	Caen - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
17.01.25	Guingamp - Rodez	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
14.01.25	Guingamp - Sochaux	3:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
10.01.25	Annecy - Guingamp	1:4 ✺
04.01.25	Guingamp - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWT
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
25.01.25	Paris FC - Red Star	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Metz - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Paris FC - Amiens	1:0 ✺
03.01.25	Paris FC - Martigues	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Lorient - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.09.24	Paris FC - Guingamp	2:0
10.05.24	Paris FC - Guingamp	2:1
02.12.23	Guingamp - Paris FC	0:1
04.03.23	Paris FC - Guingamp	1:2
13.08.22	Guingamp - Paris FC	0:0
19.02.22	Guingamp - Paris FC	1:1
11.09.21	Paris FC - Guingamp	0:1

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