Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 12

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble)

Referee: Abed K. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free


	Grenoble		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.82	3.2	2.42
	2.74	3.55	2.28	Watch
	2.87	3.28	2.41	Watch
	3	3.3	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.82)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	2.38 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grenoble
32.6%

Draw
28.2%

Guingamp
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

27.4%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.9%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Grenoble - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Diop M. (G) 19. Zahui N. 29. Paquiez G. (C) 5. Vidal C. 4. Mambo S. 26. Mion M. 8. Benet J. 30. Diba S. 11. Bangre M. 25. Valls T. 7. Diaby Y.	1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 2. Koffi E. 7. Gomis D. 22. Sissoko A. 36. Demouchy A. 29. Abdallah A. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 6. N'Landu D. 27. Kielt S. 9. Mafouta L. 10. Hemia A.
Substitutes
16. Allain B. (G) 17. Delos S. 23. Elphege N. 20. Maurin E. 18. Mbock H. 15. Mouazan B. 24. Mouyokolo L.	39. Ahile T. 33. Gassama E. 20. Hatchi J. 40. Marec N. (G) 23. Ourega D. 11. Sagna A. 8. Sidibe K.
Coaches
Rizzetto F.	Ripoll S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Vidal C. 🟨,
24', Abdallah A. 🟨,
40', Gomis D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Diaby Y. ↓, Elphege N. ↑,
64', Diba S. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
65', Bangre M. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
66', Kielt S. ↓, Hatchi J. ↑,
66', N'Landu D. ↓, Sidibe K. ↑,
66', Koffi E. ↓, Gassama E. ↑,
71', Zahui N. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
90', Valls T. ↓, Mouazan B. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Grenoble: Djitte M. (Inactive) Mouazan B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Guingamp: Abdallah A. (Inactive) Mbemba F. (Inactive) Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Elbow Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Grenoble won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
24.10.25	Red Star - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Grenoble - Pau	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Reims - Grenoble	2:4 ✺
26.09.25	Grenoble - Bastia	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Le Mans - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTWTL
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
24.10.25	Guingamp - Clermont	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Boulogne - Guingamp	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Guingamp - Nancy	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Saint-Étienne - Guingamp	2:3 ✺
23.09.25	Guingamp - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.02.25	Grenoble - Guingamp	1:1
02.11.24	Guingamp - Grenoble	3:0
30.03.24	Grenoble - Guingamp	0:0
07.10.23	Guingamp - Grenoble	2:2
02.06.23	Grenoble - Guingamp	0:2
13.01.23	Guingamp - Grenoble	2:4
15.01.22	Guingamp - Grenoble	0:0

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