Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Guingamp		Metz

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.6	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.49
	3.01	3.02	2.7
	2.93	2.95	2.6	Watch
	3	3	2.5
	2.98	2.95	2.67	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.87)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	2.58 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
31.7%

Draw
32%

Metz
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

29.9%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

30%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Guingamp - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Metz will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Basilio E. (G) 22. Sissoko A. 7. Gomis D. 18. Nair S. 31. Ourega D. 28. Le Bris T. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 8. Sidibe K. 10. Picard H. 13. Hemia A. 9. Labeau B.	29. Bodart A. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 4. Mboula U. 3. Udol M. (C) 7. Hein G. 21. Stambouli B. 20. Deminguet J. 10. Diallo P. A. 14. Sabaly C. 18. Gueye I.
Substitutes
21. Ghrieb R. 19. Guendouz S. 2. Maronnier L. 29. Mendes J. A. 30. Niasse B. (G) 5. Phiri L. 26. Riou M.	99. Asoro J. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 2. Colin M. 36. Jallow A. 16. Oukidja A. (G) 9. Sane I. 8. Traore I.
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Le Mignan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Nair S. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Hein G. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', Kouao K. 🟨,
66', Le Bris T. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
76', Louiserre D. ↓, Phiri L. ↑,
76', Sidibe K. ↓, Riou M. ↑,
76', Gomis D. ↓, Mendes J. A. ↑,
81', Diallo P. A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
81', Sabaly C. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
82', Picard H. ↓, Guendouz S. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Gueye I. ⚽,
90+2', Hein G. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 3, Udol M. ⚽, Kouao K. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Metz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Guingamp: Planeix I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Guingamp: Sagna A. (Injury) Siwe J. (Muscle Injury) Vallier L. (Calf Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
08.02.25	Ajaccio - Guingamp	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
05.02.25	Toulouse - Guingamp	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
01.02.25	Guingamp - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Caen - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
17.01.25	Guingamp - Rodez	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWLWW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
08.02.25	Metz - Clermont	3:1 ✺
31.01.25	Bastia - Metz	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Metz - Grenoble	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Metz - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Lorient - Metz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
25.10.24	Metz - Guingamp	1:0
20.05.23	Guingamp - Metz	1:1
12.09.22	Metz - Guingamp	3:6
French Ligue 1
24.02.18	Guingamp - Metz	2:2
05.08.17	Metz - Guingamp	1:3
20.05.17	Guingamp - Metz	1:0
21.12.16	Metz - Guingamp	2:2

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