Match Info

Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Cantolao		Pirata

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.05	3	3.45
	2.04	3.04	3.5
	2.18	3.03	3.48	Watch
	2.01	3.18	3.49
	2.13	3.45	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.13)	3.12 ↓ (3.45)	3.3 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cantolao
43.3%

Draw
29.2%

Pirata
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.4%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantolao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Cantolao - Pirata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	24. Larrea F. (G)
	23. Anton P.
	8. Carbajal J.
	10. Chaparro L.
	5. Hoyos H. (C)
	22. Huaman B.
	11. Lugo K.
	2. Morales M.
	6. Navarro J.
	20. Santos S.
	4. Torres C.
Substitutes
	9. Astonitas F.
	17. Carhualllanqui J.
	15. Chirinos A.
	12. Cordova A. (G)
	7. Diaz M.
	14. Huaman J.
	32. Suclupe M.
	25. Tapia D.
	19. Vega Quiroz J. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Olmedo A. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Gutierrez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟥,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Cantolao has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pirata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cantolao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cantolao is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cantolao won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cantolao won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 2
06.07.25	Santos - Cantolao	2:0 ✺
27.06.25	Cantolao - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Unión Comercio - Cantolao	1:0 ✺
16.06.25	Cantolao - Deportivo Coopsol	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Moquegua - Cantolao	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLL
- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
21.07.25	Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba	4:1 ✺
05.07.25	Cajamarca - Pirata	3:0 ✺
28.06.25	Pirata - ADA Jaén	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Pirata	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
21.09.24	Pirata - Cantolao	0:2
27.08.24	Cantolao - Pirata	2:2

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