Match Info

BELGIUM: National Division 1 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Cappellen		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.9	1.7
	3.7	4.41	1.7
	4.02	3.97	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (3.91)	4.09 (4.09)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cappellen
24.2%

Draw
22.3%

Excelsior Virton
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

22.6%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

22.5%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cappellen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cappellen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Mbombo Y. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Tshimanga H. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Lemoine G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 2 - 2, ⚽,
69', 3 - 2, ⚽,
77', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Cappellen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Virton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Virton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Virton to win the game is with odds 1.89.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cappellen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Cappellen FC
Belgian National Division 1
28.04.24	URSL Vise - Cappellen	4:1 ✺
21.04.24	Cappellen - Tienen	2:7 ✺
13.04.24	Thes Sport - Cappellen	5:0 ✺
07.04.24	Cappellen - Royal Antwerp 2	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Charleroi B - Cappellen	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1
27.04.24	Excelsior Virton - Heist	4:2 ✺
20.04.24	Lokeren - Excelsior Virton	1:3 ✺
13.04.24	Excelsior Virton - Royal Antwerp 2	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Excelsior Virton - Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	URSL Vise - Excelsior Virton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
30.09.23	Excelsior Virton - Cappellen	4:0

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