Match Info

BELGIUM: National Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)


	Excelsior Virton		Heist

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	2.95
	2.06	3.62	3.24
	2.06	3.62	3.24
	1.98	3.53	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.24)	3.51 ↓ (3.53)	3.21 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
45%

Draw
26.3%

Heist
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Heist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heist than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
57', 2 - 0, ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, ⚽,
75', 4 - 0, ⚽,
83', 4 - 1, ⚽,
89', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virton won 2.

Recent matches Virton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heist is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Heist have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Virton won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Virton won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1
20.04.24	Lokeren - Excelsior Virton	1:3 ✺
13.04.24	Excelsior Virton - Royal Antwerp 2	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Excelsior Virton - Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	URSL Vise - Excelsior Virton	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Excelsior Virton - Charleroi B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWTTL
- KSK Heist
Belgian National Division 1
20.04.24	Heist - URSL Vise	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Heist - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Heist	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Heist - Dessel Sport	1:3 ✺
20.03.24	Heist - Tienen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
02.12.23	Heist - Excelsior Virton	0:1
23.02.19	Excelsior Virton - Heist	1:1
10.11.18	Heist - Excelsior Virton	1:3
10.03.18	Heist - Excelsior Virton	1:1
09.09.17	Excelsior Virton - Heist	1:2
17.05.17	Heist - Excelsior Virton	2:3
13.05.17	Excelsior Virton - Heist	3:2

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