Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Carabanchel		Ursaria

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Carabanchel
16.9%

Draw
27.4%

Ursaria
55.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.1%

29.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

28.5%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ursaria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent matches Carabanchel is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ursaria is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ursaria is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carabanchel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.04.22	Parla - Carabanchel	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Carabanchel - CDE Madrid	3:2 ✺
14.04.22	Getafe B - Carabanchel	3:0 ✺
10.04.22	Carabanchel - Tres Cantos	3:1 ✺
03.04.22	Galapagar - Carabanchel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWL
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.04.22	Ursaria - Rayo Vallecano B	1:0 ✺
17.04.22	Paracuellos Antamira - Ursaria	1:1 ✺
14.04.22	Ursaria - Pozuelo de Alarcón	3:0 ✺
09.04.22	Alcalá - Ursaria	2:1 ✺
03.04.22	Ursaria - Complutense Alcalá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLW

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.02.22	Ursaria - Carabanchel	2:0

Carabanchel - Ursaria