The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caracas 55.2%
Draw 25.9%
Rayo Zuliano 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
25.2%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
24.2%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Rayo Zuliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Caracas - Rayo Zuliano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vegas J. (G) 3. Pagano L. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 19. Mago L. 13. Yendis J. 15. Larotonda C. 33. Correa W. 37. Vegas C. 10. Covea M. 7. Robert Hernandez 9. Fernandez A.
12. Ramirez R. (G) 3. Rivillo D. 34. Diaz F. 22. Orejuela S. 6. Kinsler A. 23. Ochoa J. (C) 26. Gomez J. 8. Velez J. 7. Vasquez Ferrer D. A. 90. Pena L. 10. Arias J.
Substitutes
2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 22. Figueroa A. 8. Gudino I. 23. Lira E. (G) 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 43. Palma R. 4. Quintero J. 17. Reinoso L. 29. Rondon J. 5. Vegas M.
32. Barrios J. 20. Chacon P. 2. Chavez F. 70. Colina Bracho J. A. 31. Dugarte L. 36. Jimenez A. 19. Martinez G. 5. Martinez J. 27. Moran J. 18. Paz L. 97. Urbina L.
Coaches
Aristeguieta F.
Garcia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Robert Hernandez 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Velez J. ⚽,
38', Gomez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Vegas C. ↓, Martinez Aponte C. A. ↑,
66', Pena L. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
66', Robert Hernandez ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
66', Pagano L. ↓, Fereira Penaranda E. E. ↑,
68', Arias J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
69', Larotonda C. 🟨,
70', La Mantia F. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Covea M. ⚽, Fernandez A. (A),
79', Ochoa J. ↓, Barrios J. ↑,
80', Vasquez Ferrer D. A. ↓, Moran J. ↑,
80', Gomez J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
80', Fernandez A. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
80', Covea M. ↓, Palma R. ↑,
82', Yendis J. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Yendis J. ⚽, Palma R. (A),
90+5', Rondon J. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 10)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Caracas is a strong favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).