The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Zuliano 25.9%
Draw 27%
Metropolitanos 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
27.8%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
26.7%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Zuliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metropolitanos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Rayo Zuliano - Metropolitanos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Camacaro J. (G) 3. Rivillo D. 34. Diaz F. 22. Orejuela S. 25. Julio J. 8. Velez J. 26. Gomez J. 10. Arias J. 11. Romero C. 23. Ochoa J. (C) 7. Vasquez Ferrer D. A.
1. Yustiz Y. (G) 17. Valderrey E. 4. Ferro A. 6. Caricote Y. 19. Ramirez I. 8. Ayine G. 15. Zalzman D. 88. Figueroa R. 7. Miku (C) 30. Navarro J. 9. Ortiz K.
Substitutes
20. Chacon P. 2. Chavez F. 70. Colina Bracho J. A. 31. Dugarte L. 21. Franco D. 6. Kinsler A. 9. Maldonado C. 19. Martinez G. 5. Martinez J. 18. Paz L. 12. Ramirez R. (G) 97. Urbina L.
20. Acosta R. 99. Bianciotti A. 23. Diaz M. 21. Garces R. 24. Jaimes A. 22. Lara J. (G) 2. Manenti F. 11. Ramirez S. 5. Sangiovani R.
Coaches
Garcia J.
Stifano F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Miku (Penalty Awarded),
27', Ayine G. 🟨,
37', Zalzman D. 🟨,
45', Orejuela S. 🟨,
45+8', Romero C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Zalzman D. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
56', Figueroa R. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
63', Ramirez S. 🟨,
72', Ferro A. ↓, Manenti F. ↑,
77', Navarro J. 🟨,
78', Ochoa J. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Romero C. ↓, Maldonado C. ↑,
81', Velez J. ↓, Dugarte L. ↑,
84', Orejuela S. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
85', Navarro J. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
85', Ortiz K. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
85', Julio J. ↓, Kinsler A. ↑,
86', Ochoa J. ↓, Colina Bracho J. A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Zuliano won 0.
Rayo Zuliano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Metropolitanos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Rayo Zuliano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Metropolitanos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rayo Zuliano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Zuliano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Metropolitanos
11
9
1
1
24:9
15
28
11
Rayo Zuliano
11
3
2
6
17:23
-6
11
Last Results with these Odds
Rayo Zuliano - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.64%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Metropolitanos - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Camacaro J. (G) 
Orejuela S. 
Ayine G. 
Ortiz K. 
Bianciotti A. 
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