Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 38

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Caravaggio		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	7.4	4.5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.4 (7.4)	4.5 (4.5)	1.38 (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaggio
12.5%

Draw
20.5%

Desenzano Calvina
67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

19.7%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Caravaggio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Desenzano Calvina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+14', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caravaggio won 1.

Caravaggio is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Desenzano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Desenzano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Desenzano is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Caravaggio won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Caravaggio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Caravaggio
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.04.24	Caravaggio - Arconatese	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Clivense - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
28.03.24	Caravaggio - Casatese	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Folgore Caratese - Caravaggio	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
28.04.24	Desenzano Calvina - Arconatese	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Tritium - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Desenzano Calvina - Villa Valle	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
20.12.23	Desenzano Calvina - Caravaggio	0:0
20.03.22	Desenzano Calvina - Caravaggio	2:1
19.09.21	Caravaggio - Desenzano Calvina	3:2
02.05.21	Desenzano Calvina - Caravaggio	3:1
17.01.21	Caravaggio - Desenzano Calvina	0:3

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