Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 32

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Virtus CiseranoBergamo		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	3.04	3.05	2.31
	3.04	2.9	2.32
	3	3	2.15
	3.14	2.88	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.21)	2.96 ↑ (2.95)	2.28 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus CiseranoBergamo
29.6%

Draw
30.6%

Desenzano Calvina
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

30.9%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

30.2%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus CiseranoBergamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Pinardi N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 2, Paloschi A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus CiseranoBergamo won 0.

Recent matches Virtus CiseranoBergamo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Desenzano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Virtus CiseranoBergamo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Desenzano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Virtus CiseranoBergamo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus CiseranoBergamo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus CiseranoBergamo
Italian Serie D - Group B
20.03.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Tritium - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Casatese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Folgore Caratese	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Villa Valle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTLL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.03.24	Desenzano Calvina - Varesina	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Real Calepina - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Desenzano Calvina - Brusaporto	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Castellanzese - Desenzano Calvina	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	Desenzano Calvina - Ponte San Pietro Isola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
12.11.23	Desenzano Calvina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1
16.04.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Desenzano Calvina	0:1
04.12.22	Desenzano Calvina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1
08.05.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Desenzano Calvina	3:4
22.12.21	Desenzano Calvina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1
07.03.21	Desenzano Calvina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:2
18.10.20	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Desenzano Calvina	0:1

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