Match Info

Championship - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5, Fox Sports
Portugal	Sport TV4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Cardiff City		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.50	2.65	Watch
	2.45	3.50	2.70
	2.43	3.40	2.75	Watch
	2.54	3.61	2.80
	2.53	3.6	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.55	2.75
	2.45	3.58	2.91	Watch
	2.50	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.35)	3.52 ↑ (3.48)	2.73 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
38.3%

Draw
26.9%

Wrexham
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

26%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	4.8%	9.5%

Cardiff City - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 18 - 90%). Wrexham will win (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 76.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Wrexham (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 3 - 75%). Wrexham (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. (C) 4. Osho G. 3. Bagan J. 23. Scanlon C. 18. Robertson A. 11. Tanner O. 8. Moylan J. 45. Ashford C. 16. Willock C. 9. Salech Y.	22. Patterson A. (G) 26. Vyner Z. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 30. Imray D. 20. Rathbone O. 37. James M. 27. O'Brien L. 14. Thomason G. 19. Moore K. 33. Broadhead N.
Substitutes
40. Anyadike N. 27. Colwill J. 10. Colwill R. 39. Davies I. 44. Kpakio R. 47. Robinson C. 33. Tankiewicz R. 14. Turnbull D. 30. Tyrer H. (G)	11. Cadamarteri B. 4. Cleworth M. 15. Dobson G. 7. Keillor-Dunn D. 47. Longman R. 24. Scarr D. 28. Smith S. 21. Ward D. (G) 8. Whiteman B.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Moore K. ⚽, Imray D. (A),
33', Moore K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Hyam D. 🟨,
62', Tanner O. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
63', Willock C. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
67', Rathbone O. ↓, Whiteman B. ↑,
72', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
72', Broadhead N. ↓, Keillor-Dunn D. ↑,
75', James M. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
75', Imray D. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
80', Robertson A. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
80', Scanlon C. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
80', Ashford C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 1, Colwill R. ⚽,
90+9', Barry-Murphy B. 🟨,

Preview

Cardiff is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wrexham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There are questionable in Cardiff: Lawlor D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Revan S. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Wrexham: 4.26% Cardiff: 0.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11
21	Cardiff	9	1	4	4	11:14	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Cardiff City - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.85%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Cup
08.08.26	Cardiff City - Swindon Town	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Cardiff City - Roma	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	Forest Green Rovers - Cardiff City	1:5 ✺
14.07.26	Cork City - Cardiff City	1:6 ✺
11.07.26	Cardiff City - Midtjylland	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWL
- Wrexham AFC
English League Cup
07.08.26	Middlesbrough - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Premier League Summer Series
02.08.26	Wrexham - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Liverpool - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Wrexham - Leeds United	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Manchester United - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
28.10.25	Wrexham - Cardiff City	1:2

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