Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Cyncoed Campus (Cardiff)

Referee: Harman J. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Cardiff Metropolitan		Cambrian United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.50	3.75
	1.87	3.50	3.35
	1.79	4.09	3.94
	1.81	4.02	3.82	Watch
	1.74	4.00	3.90
	1.78	3.72	3.71
	1.79	3.60	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.97)	3.78 ↑ (3.5)	3.75 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Metropolitan
51.2%

Draw
24.3%

Cambrian United
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

25.9%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

25.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff Metropolitan's performance.

Cambrian United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Cardiff Metropolitan - Cambrian United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Davies A. (G) 8. Craven C. 14. Dymond-Hall S. 23. Hooper J. 20. John H. 10. Jones S. 16. McKenzie M. 11. Mwandwe L. 9. Payne J. 33. Raison T. 4. Veale J.	1. Absalom K. (G) 25. Beecher J. 11. Edwards D. 4. Evans A. 19. Hughes C. 6. John A. 5. Jones K. 20. Karadogan J. 12. Strinati C. 7. Thomas F. 8. Woodford J.
Substitutes
25. Block J. 12. Gaughan B. 13. Howard W. (G) 18. Lloyd T. 29. Matthews H. 36. Snaith S. 24. Wildig A.	36. Allen J. 9. Bonthron A. 40. Bright H. 23. Joseph J. 18. Lewis K. 13. Morgan M. (G) 14. Morris J.
Coaches
Jenkins R.	Williams L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Dymond-Hall S. 🟨,
31', Strinati C. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Dymond-Hall S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 2 - 0, Jones S. ⚽,
54', Karadogan J. ↓, Bright H. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, John A. ⚽,
59', Hughes C. ↓, Bonthron A. ↑,
62', John H. ↓, Snaith S. ↑,
72', Beecher J. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Bright H. ⚽,
82', Craven C. (Penalty Awarded),
83', McKenzie M. ↓, Wildig A. ↑,
90+2', Bright H. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cardiff Metropolitan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Cambrian United: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cardiff Metropolitan	12	6	3	3	23:13	10	21
9	Cambrian United	12	5	3	4	21:32	-11	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
31.08.26	Ammanford - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:5 ✺
28.08.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:0 ✺
21.08.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints	0:5 ✺
15.08.26	Barry Town United - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLW
- Cambrian United
Welsh Cymru Premier
31.08.26	Cambrian United - Pen-y-Bont	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Cambrian United	3:0 ✺
21.08.26	Haverfordwest County - Cambrian United	0:3 ✺
14.08.26	Cambrian United - Flint Town United	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Cambrian United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Cambrian United - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:1 penalties
Club Friendly
04.07.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Cambrian United	3:0
Welsh League Cup
19.01.19	Cardiff Metropolitan - Cambrian United	2:0

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