Match Info

Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 24

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Maes Tegid (Bala)

Referee: Livesey A. D. (Eng)


	Bala Town		Cardiff Metropolitan

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.45	3.2	2.02
	3.67	3.31	2.04
	3.62	3.4	2.03	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.05
	3.55	3.14	2
	3.66	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.36)	3.23 ↑ (3.17)	2.01 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bala Town
25.9%

Draw
28.5%

Cardiff Metropolitan
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torrance J. (G) 27. Billington S. 8. Burke N. (C) 4. Digbeu N. 22. Ferguson C. 3. Hall L. 11. Higgins L. 17. Ibrahim O. 7. Mendes L. 14. Samuels J. 23. White R.	40. Griffiths E. (G) 2. Chubb M. 16. Craven C. (C) 3. Edwards J. 7. Evans E. 20. John H. 10. Jones S. 19. Mwandwe L. 17. Payne J. 6. Reynolds R. 21. Soady B.
Substitutes
44. Dean H. 29. Dogan T. 15. Evans C. 16. Kelly T. 99. Mehasseb H. 10. Owen J. 42. Parsonage L.	8. Kabongo D. 14. Morris J. 36. Perry H. 35. Popham B. 9. Rees L. 13. Seager S. (G) 4. Walsh L.
Coaches
Fisher S.	Jenkins R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Ferguson C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', John H. ↓, Kabongo D. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Mwandwe L. ⚽,
65', Jones S. ↓, Rees L. ↑,
66', Mendes L. 🟨,
67', Billington S. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
75', Chubb M. ↓, Popham B. ↑,
77', Ferguson C. ↓, Mehasseb H. ↑,
81', Mendes L. ↓, Owen J. ↑,
81', Evans E. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
84', Higgins L. ↓, Kelly T. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 0.

Cardiff Metropolitan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cardiff Metropolitan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bala Town won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cardiff Metropolitan	12	6	3	3	23:13	10	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.01.26	Bala Town - Flint Town United	3:4 ✺
13.01.26	Flint Town United - Bala Town	0:4 ✺
06.01.26	The New Saints - Bala Town	2:1 ✺
31.12.25	Bala Town - Caernarfon Town	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Bala Town - Haverfordwest County	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL
- Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.01.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Barry Town United - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
16.12.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
29.11.25	Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:2
04.10.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town	2:0
26.04.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town	1:0
29.03.25	Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:0
08.02.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town	2:1
09.11.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town	3:3
07.09.24	Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:1

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