The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moravia 42.3%
Draw 27.2%
Carmelita 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.5%
26.7%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
27.2%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moravia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Carmelita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moravia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Moravia - Carmelita Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
88', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
Moravia has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Carmelita is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Moravia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Moravia has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Moravia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:3 goals.