Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group III - Round 34

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday


	Carina Gubin		Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	3.4
	1.76	3.84	3.73	Watch
	1.45	4.4	4.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.4)	4.05 ↓ (4.65)	3.99 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carina Gubin
54.9%

Draw
22.4%

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

19.6%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

19.3%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carina Gubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carina Gubin's form might have worsened.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carina Gubin than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carina Gubin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carina Gubin - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Nazar M. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Matuszewski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 3 - 1, Nazar M. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Carina Gubin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carina Gubin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carina Gubin is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carina Gubin won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Carina Gubin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carina Gubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
31.05.24	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Carina Gubin	2:2 ✺
24.05.24	Carina Gubin - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Carina Gubin - Odra Bytom Odrzański	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Carina Gubin - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Starowice Dolne - Carina Gubin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWTL
- TS Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Polish Division 3 - Group III
01.06.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:4 ✺
25.05.24	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	0:3 ✺
18.05.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
15.05.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Raków Częstochowa II	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.11.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Carina Gubin	3:1
16.04.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Carina Gubin	1:1
10.09.22	Carina Gubin - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1
11.06.22	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Carina Gubin	0:0
06.11.21	Carina Gubin - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:2

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