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Current Win Probability
Carlisle United 40.2%
Draw 27.8%
Barrow 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
26.3%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
27.5%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.
Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barrow's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barrow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Carlisle United - Barrow Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lewis H. (G) 2. Davies A. 6. Hayden A. 4. Thomas T. 22. Mellish J. 20. Williams B. 16. Vela J. 26. Barclay B. 17. Neal H. 14. Adu Adjei D. 10. Wyke Ch. (C)
1. Farman P. (G) 2. Eccleston N. 42. Vassell T. 6. Canavan N. (C) 30. Jackson B. 23. Mahoney C. 4. Campbell D. 15. Gotts R. 8. Spence K. 11. Newby E. 20. Acquah E.
Substitutes
27. Allan J. 13. Breeze G. (G) 11. Butterworth D. 18. Ellis J. 31. Hetherington S. 9. Kelly G. 5. Lavelle S.
9. Dallas A. 16. Foley S. 10. Garner G. 17. Kouyate K. 21. Stanway W. (G) 19. Telford D. 29. Tiensia J.
Coaches
Simpson P.
Clemence S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Wyke Ch. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Adu Adjei D. ⚽, Mellish J. (A),
37', Vassell T. 🟨,
43', Hayden A. 🟨,
45+2', Gotts R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thomas T. ↓, Lavelle S. ↑,
58', Newby E. ↓, Kouyate K. ↑,
58', Acquah E. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
62', Barclay B. 🟨,
72', Gotts R. ↓, Telford D. ↑,
75', Wyke Ch. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
75', Williams B. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
82', Davies A. 🟨,
83', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
86', Eccleston N. ↓, Dallas A. ↑,
90+5', Vela J. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 3.
Carlisle is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Barrow is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Carlisle have a series of guest games.
Recently Barrow have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
United-kingdom
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Lewis H. (G) 
Thomas T. 
Williams B. 
Canavan N. (C) 
Campbell D. 
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