Match Info

National League - Round 31

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Rochdale		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.72	3.6	4.45
	1.72	3.64	5.01
	1.71	3.78	4.57	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.6
	1.68	3.48	4.63
	1.69	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.88)	3.56 ↑ (3.54)	4.6 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
54.1%

Draw
25.9%

Carlisle United
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

25%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Rochdale - Carlisle United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 18. Barlow A. 22. Moss D. 10. Rodney D. 9. Dieseruvwe E.	1. Breeze G. (G) 22. Williams J. 26. Mugabi B. 5. Feeney M. (C) 12. Galvin R. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 7. Ajiboye D. 14. Embleton E. 18. Ellis J. 29. Armstrong L.
Substitutes
7. Allarakhia T. 30. Duku I. 40. Henderson I. 23. Hosannah B. J. 21. McBride C. 16. Pettit C. 17. Pritchard J.	38. Conn-Clarke C. 3. Harper C. 6. Hayden A. 13. Mair A. (G) 30. Parker H. 16. Wearne S. 23. Wyke Ch.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', Galvin R. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Moss D. ⚽, Barlow A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Rodney D. ↓, Pritchard J. ↑,
71', Ellis J. ↓, Conn-Clarke C. ↑,
79', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
79', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
80', Barlow A. 🟨,
83', Embleton E. 🟨,
85', Ajiboye D. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
85', Embleton E. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
88', Barlow A. ↓, Hosannah B. J. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3.

Rochdale has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Carlisle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Carlisle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rochdale is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Carlisle	14	5	5	4	25:21	4	20

Outrights of English National League for now

Carlisle: 3.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
03.02.26	Rochdale - Boreham Wood	4:1 ✺
27.01.26	Rochdale - Southend United	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rochdale - Truro City	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Solihull Moors - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Gateshead - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- Carlisle United
English National League
31.01.26	Carlisle United - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Carlisle United - York City	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Solihull Moors - Carlisle United	3:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Chatham Town - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English National League
03.01.26	Carlisle United - Wealdstone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
27.09.25	Carlisle United - Rochdale	0:2
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Rochdale - Carlisle United	2:1
English League Two
28.01.23	Rochdale - Carlisle United	0:1
03.09.22	Carlisle United - Rochdale	3:3
29.03.22	Rochdale - Carlisle United	2:0
01.03.22	Carlisle United - Rochdale	2:0
English League Cup
27.08.19	Rochdale - Carlisle United	2:1

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