Match Info

National League - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Gateshead		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.75	1.45
	5.5	4.65	1.46
	5.8	4.66	1.47	Watch
	5.5	4.33	1.44
	5.85	4.45	1.42
	6	4.75	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.69 ↑ (4.89)	4.6 ↑ (4.16)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
16.2%

Draw
20.1%

Carlisle United
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

22.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

20.7%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlisle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gateshead - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks T. (G) 4. Elliott-Wheeler A. 5. Richardson K. (C) 15. Bakare I. 3. Ferguson D. 22. Edwards C. 17. Home J. 7. Adom K. 11. Newton T. 32. Chapman H. 27. Pennant K.	1. Breeze G. (G) 22. Williams J. 5. Feeney M. (C) 6. Hayden A. 3. Harper C. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 14. Embleton E. 18. Ellis J. 10. Linney R. 21. Jones J.
Substitutes
35. Bone C. 10. Butterfield J. 6. Flint W. 21. Hurst K. 13. Leech P. (G) 34. Melbourne M. 14. Nouble F.	7. Ajiboye D. 29. Armstrong L. 9. Kelly G. 25. Lewis H. (G) 26. Mugabi B. 16. Wearne S. 8. Whelan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Chapman H. ↓, Hurst K. ↑,
36', 0 - 1, Embleton E. ⚽,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Jones J. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
66', Newton T. ↓, Flint W. ↑,
66', Edwards C. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Linney R. ⚽,
75', Embleton E. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Armstrong L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Gateshead is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Carlisle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Gateshead has had a series of home games.

In this match, Carlisle is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gateshead won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
21.12.25	Gateshead - Eastleigh	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gateshead - Morecambe	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
07.12.25	Gateshead - Walsall	0:2 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Sutton United - Gateshead	4:2 ✺
English National League Cup
26.11.25	Gateshead - Leeds United U21	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Carlisle United
English National League
21.12.25	Boreham Wood - Carlisle United	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Harborough Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
English National League
10.12.25	Carlisle United - Woking	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
07.12.25	Blackpool - Carlisle United	4:1 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Carlisle United - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.24	Gateshead - Carlisle United	2:0
18.08.20	Gateshead - Carlisle United	1:1

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