Match Info

National League - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Gateshead		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.75	1.45
	5.5	4.65	1.46
	5.8	4.66	1.47	Watch
	5.5	4.33	1.44
	5.85	4.45	1.42
	6	4.75	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.69 ↑ (4.89)	4.6 ↑ (4.16)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
16.2%

Draw
20.1%

Carlisle United
63.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19%

22.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

20.7%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlisle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gateshead - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks T. (G) 4. Elliott-Wheeler A. 5. Richardson K. (C) 15. Bakare I. 3. Ferguson D. 22. Edwards C. 17. Home J. 7. Adom K. 11. Newton T. 32. Chapman H. 27. Pennant K.	1. Breeze G. (G) 22. Williams J. 5. Feeney M. (C) 6. Hayden A. 3. Harper C. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 14. Embleton E. 18. Ellis J. 10. Linney R. 21. Jones J.
Substitutes
35. Bone C. 10. Butterfield J. 6. Flint W. 21. Hurst K. 13. Leech P. (G) 34. Melbourne M. 14. Nouble F.	7. Ajiboye D. 29. Armstrong L. 9. Kelly G. 25. Lewis H. (G) 26. Mugabi B. 16. Wearne S. 8. Whelan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Chapman H. ↓, Hurst K. ↑,
36', 0 - 1, Embleton E. ⚽,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Jones J. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
66', Newton T. ↓, Flint W. ↑,
66', Edwards C. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Linney R. ⚽,
75', Embleton E. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Armstrong L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Gateshead is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Carlisle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Gateshead has had a series of home games.

In this match, Carlisle is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gateshead won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
21.12.25	Gateshead - Eastleigh	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gateshead - Morecambe	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
07.12.25	Gateshead - Walsall	0:2 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Sutton United - Gateshead	4:2 ✺
English National League Cup
26.11.25	Gateshead - Leeds United U21	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Carlisle United
English National League
21.12.25	Boreham Wood - Carlisle United	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Harborough Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
English National League
10.12.25	Carlisle United - Woking	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
07.12.25	Blackpool - Carlisle United	4:1 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Carlisle United - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.24	Gateshead - Carlisle United	2:0
18.08.20	Gateshead - Carlisle United	1:1

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